{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "ef43f3b7-5bf0-4705-88e5-0808559efee6",
    "symbol": "CIR",
    "name": "CIR S.p.A. - Compagnie Industriali Riunite",
    "exchange": "MIL",
    "country": "IT",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 82.026,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 36.229,
    "architecture_energy": 21.74,
    "architecture_maturity": 37.998,
    "architecture_confidence": 69.204,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 41.07,
        "rotation_up": 36.54,
        "upward_expansion": 63.6,
        "deceleration": 84.72,
        "rotation_down": 25.94,
        "downward_expansion": 15.93
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        0.710766
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 0.707,
    "trend_reference": 0.703267,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.005309,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 0.587708,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.202978,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -12.290334,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.026125,
    "excess_performance": -0.144767,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.005309,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.010925,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.202978,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.016965,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.122903,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.030004,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.026125,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.866648,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 2414037,
      "relative_activity": 1.265207,
      "balance": 0.866648,
      "dry_up": 1.071364,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.057339,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.260988,
      "from_high_reference": -0.117353,
      "from_low_reference": 0.159016
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.703267,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.587708,
      "structural_low": 0.639,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
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    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 26,
        "median_return": -0.004942,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.092033,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 8.945207,
        "energy": 10.488406,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 0.783,
        "volume": 1477264,
        "typical_volume": 2825836.9,
        "trend": 0.6984,
        "fair_value": 0.576923,
        "relative_strength": -1.91427,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 55.624383,
        "energy": 57.737389,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 0.759,
        "volume": 3307823,
        "typical_volume": 2843770.65,
        "trend": 0.700033,
        "fair_value": 0.579179,
        "relative_strength": -4.532565,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
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        "energy": 72.090618,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 2477201,
        "typical_volume": 2812644.25,
        "trend": 0.7025,
        "fair_value": 0.581538,
        "relative_strength": -1.370629,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 72.949056,
        "energy": 78.293134,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.756733,
          0.735291,
          0.713514,
          0.706935
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 0.736,
        "volume": 1743776,
        "typical_volume": 2290737.85,
        "trend": 0.703467,
        "fair_value": 0.583654,
        "relative_strength": -5.724442,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 60.910209,
        "energy": 70.680375,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.754333,
          0.738073,
          0.717081,
          0.709097
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.726,
        "volume": 1541710,
        "typical_volume": 1993642.85,
        "trend": 0.703667,
        "fair_value": 0.58575,
        "relative_strength": -7.459153,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 56.526497,
        "energy": 41.335664,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.746267,
          0.737891,
          0.719429,
          0.710551
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.707,
        "volume": 2414037,
        "typical_volume": 1908016.9,
        "trend": 0.703267,
        "fair_value": 0.587708,
        "relative_strength": -12.290334,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 36.22915,
        "energy": 21.739735,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.730133,
          0.733782,
          0.719695,
          0.710766
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}