{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "ef549f07-6045-4f6b-bb27-3fda24780750",
    "symbol": "CRIN",
    "name": "UniCredit S.p.A.",
    "exchange": "GER",
    "country": "DE",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GDAXI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 79.739,
    "architecture_energy": 74.268,
    "architecture_maturity": 42.55,
    "architecture_confidence": 96,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 8.74,
        "rotation_up": 62.45,
        "upward_expansion": 88.48,
        "deceleration": 51.92,
        "rotation_down": 23.4,
        "downward_expansion": 15.15
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        82.639998,
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        74.490352
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 85.089996,
    "trend_reference": 71.78516,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.185342,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 45.857135,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.855545,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 15.590749,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.179219,
    "excess_performance": 0.11458,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.185342,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.073923,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.855545,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.128484,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.155907,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.041951,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.179219,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 4.605025,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 52199,
      "relative_activity": 1.127501,
      "balance": 4.605025,
      "dry_up": 1.695215,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.043221,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.338272,
      "from_high_reference": -0.008968,
      "from_low_reference": 0.511961
    },
    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 45.857135,
      "structural_low": 56.277895,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 51,
        "median_return": 0.041593,
        "positive_rate": 0.627451,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.627451,
        "median_excess_return": 0.021875,
        "regime_survival": 0.843137,
        "best_return": 0.270007,
        "worst_return": -0.336298,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "sufficient": false
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        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
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        "energy": 10.809604,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "typical_volume": 51574.75,
        "trend": 65.004456,
        "fair_value": 40.162011,
        "relative_strength": 2.96859,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "trend": 65.163683,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 70.510002,
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        "typical_volume": 54226.35,
        "trend": 65.529119,
        "fair_value": 40.826565,
        "relative_strength": 11.395628,
        "stage": 3,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "trend": 65.946262,
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        "relative_strength": 13.807213,
        "stage": 3,
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        "energy": 32.708439,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 56057.1,
        "trend": 66.403989,
        "fair_value": 41.538921,
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        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 47.048669,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 74.25,
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        "typical_volume": 56400.2,
        "trend": 66.843857,
        "fair_value": 41.91202,
        "relative_strength": 12.003678,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 73.139999,
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        "typical_volume": 55763.0,
        "trend": 67.278837,
        "fair_value": 42.279785,
        "relative_strength": 11.325667,
        "stage": 2,
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        "energy": 66.622904,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "volume": 11605,
        "typical_volume": 54374.1,
        "trend": 67.67646,
        "fair_value": 42.644543,
        "relative_strength": 11.788386,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.895128,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "relative_strength": 19.257312,
        "stage": 2,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "typical_volume": 51839.05,
        "trend": 68.83919,
        "fair_value": 43.423513,
        "relative_strength": 15.800483,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 69.84812,
        "energy": 74.657519,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 81.660004,
        "volume": 14888,
        "typical_volume": 48656.1,
        "trend": 69.445482,
        "fair_value": 43.829867,
        "relative_strength": 16.490609,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 83.105055,
        "energy": 84.39884,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 82.989998,
        "volume": 31107,
        "typical_volume": 48711.35,
        "trend": 70.016073,
        "fair_value": 44.242051,
        "relative_strength": 20.868202,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 82.175204,
        "energy": 89.895577,
        "activity_lines": [
          80.440667,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 80.889999,
        "volume": 25045,
        "typical_volume": 48360.3,
        "trend": 70.420362,
        "fair_value": 44.638324,
        "relative_strength": 18.119803,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.829859,
        "energy": 83.52902,
        "activity_lines": [
          81.051334,
          78.685091,
          74.294856,
          72.228759
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 80.459999,
        "volume": 48625,
        "typical_volume": 45078.15,
        "trend": 70.826911,
        "fair_value": 45.030769,
        "relative_strength": 15.596829,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.350068,
        "energy": 80.367976,
        "activity_lines": [
          81.022666,
          79.367818,
          75.248931,
          72.876478
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 82.0,
        "volume": 188059,
        "typical_volume": 49275.9,
        "trend": 71.248029,
        "fair_value": 45.433416,
        "relative_strength": 14.841859,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.655621,
        "energy": 70.524228,
        "activity_lines": [
          81.476666,
          80.163273,
          76.273839,
          73.597322
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 85.089996,
        "volume": 52199,
        "typical_volume": 46296.2,
        "trend": 71.78516,
        "fair_value": 45.857135,
        "relative_strength": 15.590749,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 79.738885,
        "energy": 74.268384,
        "activity_lines": [
          82.639998,
          81.342726,
          77.497782,
          74.490352
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}