{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ef5ff626-9b1c-4512-9f3c-82d09d7dee59", "symbol": "SAUS", "name": "iShares MSCI Australia UCITS ETF USD (Acc)", "exchange": "MIL", "country": "IT", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 93.471, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 91.144, "architecture_energy": 87.222, "architecture_maturity": 13.938, "architecture_confidence": 62.878, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 2.42, "rotation_up": 85.9, "upward_expansion": 96.4, "deceleration": 39.08, "rotation_down": 9.1, "downward_expansion": 18.4 }, "activity_lines": [ 55.625333, 54.888364, 54.297571, 53.882688 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 57.130001, "trend_reference": 53.182833, "distance_from_trend": 0.074219, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 47.297244, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.207893, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -3.95263, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.120855, "excess_performance": -0.050036, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.074219, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.044507, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.207893, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.042598, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.039526, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.002571, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.120855, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.601006, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 81711, "relative_activity": 0.874052, "balance": 2.601006, "dry_up": 1.138038, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.019254, "annualized_volatility": 0.149308, "from_high_reference": -0.001747, "from_low_reference": 0.249836 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 53.182833, "fair_value_reference": 47.297244, "structural_low": 50.34, "invalidation": 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"fair_value": 46.91593, "relative_strength": -7.852708, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "up", "direction": 56.690114, "energy": 34.636597, "activity_lines": [ 53.856001, 53.677091, 53.524286, 53.134376 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 54.52, "volume": 90091, "typical_volume": 94508.65, "trend": 52.436, "fair_value": 47.003974, "relative_strength": -5.622338, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.28569, "energy": 40.003419, "activity_lines": [ 54.068667, 53.848, 53.636572, 53.283796 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 54.939999, "volume": 116151, "typical_volume": 95467.7, "trend": 52.652333, "fair_value": 47.091218, "relative_strength": -4.57858, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.500404, "energy": 58.045908, "activity_lines": [ 54.4, 54.082, 53.789762, 53.445344 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 55.189999, "volume": 137606, "typical_volume": 98858.65, "trend": 52.888833, "fair_value": 47.18641, "relative_strength": -4.620361, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.438475, "energy": 67.107262, "activity_lines": [ 54.746, 54.326364, 53.957429, 53.609064 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 57.130001, "volume": 81711, "typical_volume": 93485.25, "trend": 53.182833, "fair_value": 47.297244, "relative_strength": -3.95263, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 91.143515, "energy": 87.222231, "activity_lines": [ 55.625333, 54.888364, 54.297571, 53.882688 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }