{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ef7b30d8-94e0-4c0c-9500-d63d0d71ced2", "symbol": "6156", "name": "Song Shang Electronics Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 21.953, "architecture_energy": 22.157, "architecture_maturity": 33.809, "architecture_confidence": 76.456, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 56.13, "rotation_up": 20.65, "upward_expansion": 53.55, "deceleration": 91.03, "rotation_down": 41.24, "downward_expansion": 21.88 }, "activity_lines": [ 21.506667, 23.037228, 22.269233, 21.683428 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 21.700001, "trend_reference": 21.220285, "distance_from_trend": 0.022606, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 23.617872, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.081204, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -28.511447, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.071283, "excess_performance": -0.370089, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.022606, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.041051, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.081204, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.126714, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.285114, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.176495, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.071283, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.953794, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 4647404, "relative_activity": 0.486036, "balance": 1.953794, "dry_up": 0.647842, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.173548, "annualized_volatility": 0.504949, "from_high_reference": -0.366546, "from_low_reference": 0.224324 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 21.220285, "fair_value_reference": 23.617872, "structural_low": 17.724073, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": -0.023971, "positive_rate": 0.352941, "directional_follow_through": 0.352941, "median_excess_return": -0.049271, "regime_survival": 0.470588, "best_return": 0.098507, "worst_return": -0.143227, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.047038, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": -0.012255, "regime_survival": 0.111111, "best_return": 0.376119, "worst_return": -0.184946, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.109638, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": 0.015203, "regime_survival": 0.142857, "best_return": 0.356923, 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"Developing", "return": 0.067151, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-03-14", "end": "2025-04-04", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.049917, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-04-11", "end": "2025-04-18", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.052632, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-04-25", "end": "2025-05-16", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.058824, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-05-23", "end": "2025-08-22", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.169374, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-08-29", "end": "2026-01-02", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.060291, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", 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22.356223, 21.74199 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 20.65, "volume": 6707506, "typical_volume": 9150025.6, "trend": 21.289773, "fair_value": 23.596206, "relative_strength": -30.164459, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 30.664175, "energy": 17.563576, "activity_lines": [ 23.353921, 23.77477, 22.300666, 21.697505 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 20.6, "volume": 6536362, "typical_volume": 9393975.95, "trend": 21.228421, "fair_value": 23.605657, "relative_strength": -30.784663, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 19.336077, "energy": 19.406131, "activity_lines": [ 21.943992, 23.326727, 22.234924, 21.653003 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 21.700001, "volume": 4647404, "typical_volume": 9561856.9, "trend": 21.220285, "fair_value": 23.617872, "relative_strength": -28.511447, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 21.952778, "energy": 22.156958, "activity_lines": [ 21.506667, 23.037228, 22.269233, 21.683428 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }