{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "ef984c8a-ceaf-4191-a0c3-df9c8552c518",
    "symbol": "PEN",
    "name": "Pennant International Group plc",
    "exchange": "LSE",
    "country": "GB",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 63.733,
    "architecture_energy": 53.357,
    "architecture_maturity": 45.206,
    "architecture_confidence": 92.01,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 4.2,
        "rotation_up": 63.36,
        "upward_expansion": 83.95,
        "deceleration": 61.42,
        "rotation_down": 19.07,
        "downward_expansion": 8.28
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.290333,
        0.282455,
        0.256919,
        0.242017
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Stable",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 0.29,
    "trend_reference": 0.226067,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.282807,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 0.266147,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.089622,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 20.528562,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.414634,
    "excess_performance": 0.363399,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.282807,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.110529,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.089622,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.436234,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.205286,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.472364,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.414634,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 5.1636,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 406258,
      "relative_activity": 1.496422,
      "balance": 5.1636,
      "dry_up": 1.081531,
      "accumulation_observations": 5,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.109743,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.359229,
      "from_high_reference": -0.064516,
      "from_low_reference": 0.705882
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.226067,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.266147,
      "structural_low": 0.17,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 16,
        "median_return": -0.058142,
        "positive_rate": 0.3125,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.3125,
        "median_excess_return": -0.032591,
        "regime_survival": 0.625,
        "best_return": 0.212121,
        "worst_return": -0.191176,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": -0.063291,
        "positive_rate": 0.142857,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.142857,
        "median_excess_return": -0.020533,
        "regime_survival": 0.571429,
        "best_return": 0.172414,
        "worst_return": -0.262295,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.116153,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
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        "regime_survival": 0.25,
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        "worst_return": -0.327869,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "worst_return": -0.293103,
        "sufficient": false
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        "start": "2024-05-31",
        "end": "2024-09-13",
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        "return": 0.038462,
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 307179,
        "typical_volume": 244910.5,
        "trend": 0.216733,
        "fair_value": 0.267686,
        "relative_strength": 18.490477,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "direction": 69.937924,
        "energy": 74.814792,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.276333,
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          0.227804
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "volume": 334515,
        "typical_volume": 260008.75,
        "trend": 0.2199,
        "fair_value": 0.267173,
        "relative_strength": 23.955581,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 75.557775,
        "energy": 72.956924,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.284,
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          0.244724,
          0.232854
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.295,
        "volume": 126531,
        "typical_volume": 261157.65,
        "trend": 0.223067,
        "fair_value": 0.26666,
        "relative_strength": 22.907946,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 70.890185,
        "energy": 58.729364,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.289,
          0.278455,
          0.251238,
          0.237699
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.29,
        "volume": 406258,
        "typical_volume": 271486.2,
        "trend": 0.226067,
        "fair_value": 0.266147,
        "relative_strength": 20.528562,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.732505,
        "energy": 53.357341,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.290333,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}