{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ef9f0c6b-49bc-419d-bfe6-5ff2b1d4ec6d", "symbol": "KYNB", "name": "Kyntra Bio, Inc.", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 62.51, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -23.142, "architecture_energy": 14.593, "architecture_maturity": 26.765, "architecture_confidence": 58.712, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 54.52, "rotation_up": 20.78, "upward_expansion": 18.13, "deceleration": 56.44, "rotation_down": 42.46, "downward_expansion": 58.8 }, "activity_lines": [ 7.095, 7.162364, 7.102095, 7.121634 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 7.27, "trend_reference": 7.295833, "distance_from_trend": -0.003541, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 15.243926, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.523089, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -26.278536, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.115572, "excess_performance": -0.303025, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.003541, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.077333, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.523089, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.269004, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.262785, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.059511, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.115572, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.885653, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 27823, "relative_activity": 0.341915, "balance": 1.885653, "dry_up": 0.401193, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.079906, "annualized_volatility": 0.440943, "from_high_reference": -0.423016, "from_low_reference": 0.150316 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 7.295833, "fair_value_reference": 15.243926, "structural_low": 6.32, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.032783, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.035965, "regime_survival": 0.1, "best_return": 1.872131, "worst_return": -0.244876, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.083134, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": -0.050555, "regime_survival": 0.125, "best_return": 0.508197, "worst_return": -0.486992, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.215377, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.057783, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.677578, "worst_return": -0.58886, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-05-09", "end": "2025-08-08", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.131169, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-08-15", "end": "2025-08-22", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.177462, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-08-29", "end": "2025-09-19", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.043956, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-09-26", "end": "2025-10-17", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.156783, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-10-24", "end": "2025-12-05", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.22253, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-12-12", "end": "2025-12-26", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.062053, "active": false }, { 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7.098762, 7.224645 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 7.23, "volume": 51819, "typical_volume": 104818.95, "trend": 7.504167, "fair_value": 15.937644, "relative_strength": -24.906124, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -5.252299, "energy": 17.993112, "activity_lines": [ 7.376, 7.211909, 7.116548, 7.204011 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 7.03, "volume": 20264, "typical_volume": 97481.2, "trend": 7.441833, "fair_value": 15.675016, "relative_strength": -25.495905, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -12.909196, "energy": 16.127519, "activity_lines": [ 7.292333, 7.2, 7.113857, 7.173419 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 6.73, "volume": 30681, "typical_volume": 92606.5, "trend": 7.360833, "fair_value": 15.412067, "relative_strength": -28.796698, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -40.741921, "energy": 16.872153, "activity_lines": [ 7.086667, 7.129727, 7.08169, 7.127495 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 7.27, "volume": 27823, "typical_volume": 81374.1, "trend": 7.295833, "fair_value": 15.243926, "relative_strength": -26.278536, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -23.141632, "energy": 14.592939, "activity_lines": [ 7.095, 7.162364, 7.102095, 7.121634 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }