{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "efaae299-d121-451c-b4ff-193000f2c0aa",
    "symbol": "TSQ",
    "name": "Townsquare Media Inc",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing",
    "transition": "stage_1_building",
    "transition_label": "Base still building",
    "confidence": 58.579,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -3.009,
    "architecture_energy": 9.759,
    "architecture_maturity": 11.704,
    "architecture_confidence": 53.714,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 59.8,
        "rotation_up": 22.55,
        "upward_expansion": 22.39,
        "deceleration": 60.48,
        "rotation_down": 44.18,
        "downward_expansion": 31.39
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        6.250613,
        6.388512,
        6.417303,
        6.375046
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.0
    },
    "latest_close": 6.48,
    "trend_reference": 6.315429,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.026059,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 7.326773,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.115572,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -3.910702,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.006948,
    "excess_performance": -0.118677,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.026059,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.088462,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.115572,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.009852,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.039107,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.001282,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.006948,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.923966,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 502943,
      "relative_activity": 1.13312,
      "balance": 0.923966,
      "dry_up": 0.829337,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.114877,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.599872,
      "from_high_reference": -0.16235,
      "from_low_reference": 0.596556
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 6.315429,
      "fair_value_reference": 7.326773,
      "structural_low": 4.679511,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 12,
        "median_return": -0.049333,
        "positive_rate": 0.416667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.416667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.031905,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": 0.082831,
        "worst_return": -0.126844,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.059986,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.111763,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": -0.047214,
        "worst_return": -0.090997,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.153717,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.088971,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.255418,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.250469,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.283875,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.066325,
        "worst_return": -0.435758,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-03-08",
        "end": "2024-03-29",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.021395,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2024-05-24",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.114741,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-06-21",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.096276,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2024-07-12",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.042883,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.160035,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2024-10-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.069601,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "end": "2025-01-10",
        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-01-17",
        "end": "2025-07-11",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.086334,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      {
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        "active": true
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "fair_value": 7.392549,
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        "stage": 1,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "direction": 48.867386,
        "energy": 26.918219,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 6.394339,
        "volume": 171842,
        "typical_volume": 517865.6,
        "trend": 6.197629,
        "fair_value": 7.373903,
        "relative_strength": -2.625363,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 46.429517,
        "energy": 23.861395,
        "activity_lines": [
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          6.56699,
          6.451452,
          6.388538
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 6.104127,
        "volume": 334037,
        "typical_volume": 503327.05,
        "trend": 6.239066,
        "fair_value": 7.355582,
        "relative_strength": -6.011286,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 20.885799,
        "energy": 9.661321,
        "activity_lines": [
          6.431099,
          6.493866,
          6.429632,
          6.382506
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 5.92,
        "volume": 463605,
        "typical_volume": 497360.0,
        "trend": 6.276566,
        "fair_value": 7.337371,
        "relative_strength": -9.384642,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -15.99902,
        "energy": 15.142501,
        "activity_lines": [
          6.224618,
          6.385916,
          6.394765,
          6.361921
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 6.48,
        "volume": 502943,
        "typical_volume": 443856.65,
        "trend": 6.315429,
        "fair_value": 7.326773,
        "relative_strength": -3.910702,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -3.008813,
        "energy": 9.759187,
        "activity_lines": [
          6.250613,
          6.388512,
          6.417303,
          6.375046
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}