{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "efb4675c-f282-4926-a01f-402a95d05a87",
    "symbol": "6597",
    "name": "Ecocera Optronics Co., Ltd.",
    "exchange": "TWO",
    "country": "TW",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-14",
    "benchmark": "^TWII",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing",
    "transition": "stage_1_building",
    "transition_label": "Base still building",
    "confidence": 50.033,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 13.93,
    "architecture_energy": 14.0,
    "architecture_maturity": 31.153,
    "architecture_confidence": 70.521,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 54.45,
        "rotation_up": 23.88,
        "upward_expansion": 42.47,
        "deceleration": 76.42,
        "rotation_down": 35.25,
        "downward_expansion": 34.14
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        64.633333,
        65.172727,
        66.63589,
        65.644097
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 68.0,
    "trend_reference": 63.755555,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.066574,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 69.494753,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.021509,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -22.00298,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.133976,
    "excess_performance": -0.307396,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.066574,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.025868,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.021509,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.11511,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.22003,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.045995,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.133976,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.678904,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 21000,
      "relative_activity": 0.188432,
      "balance": 0.678904,
      "dry_up": 0.201894,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.098229,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.404091,
      "from_high_reference": -0.167322,
      "from_low_reference": 0.351878
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 63.755555,
      "fair_value_reference": 69.494753,
      "structural_low": 53.799999,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 11,
        "median_return": -0.025301,
        "positive_rate": 0.363636,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.363636,
        "median_excess_return": -0.04457,
        "regime_survival": 0.454545,
        "best_return": 0.331633,
        "worst_return": -0.237069,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.109312,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": -0.110812,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.538461,
        "worst_return": -0.284337,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.035723,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.024799,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.172717,
        "worst_return": -0.242316,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.089271,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.099087,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 1.061013,
        "worst_return": -0.30107,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-07-26",
        "end": "2024-08-02",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.006211,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-08-09",
        "end": "2024-08-23",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.049383,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-08-30",
        "end": "2024-10-04",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.024691,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2024-12-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.041667,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-12-13",
        "end": "2025-01-24",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.241758,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-02-07",
        "end": "2025-04-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-04-18",
        "end": "2025-05-09",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.275862,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-05-16",
        "end": "2025-06-20",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.060101,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-06-27",
        "end": "2025-11-28",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.217604,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2026-01-02",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.139706,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-01-09",
        "end": "2026-02-13",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.061818,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "return": 0.131783,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "return": -0.054545,
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "return": 0.00295,
        "active": true
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 66691.2,
        "trend": 59.683247,
        "fair_value": 65.202078,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 95914.35,
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        "stage": 1,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "stage": 1,
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 112633.0,
        "trend": 61.021121,
        "fair_value": 66.165336,
        "relative_strength": -27.739632,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "direction": 68.382326,
        "energy": 69.961657,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 116783.05,
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        "direction": 65.734466,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "typical_volume": 126126.85,
        "trend": 62.574198,
        "fair_value": 67.187644,
        "relative_strength": -29.762518,
        "stage": 1,
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        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.635657,
        "energy": 62.432574,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "volume": 46000,
        "typical_volume": 116675.7,
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        "relative_strength": -31.905417,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "typical_volume": 113223.2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "fair_value": 68.049368,
        "relative_strength": -32.122102,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 37.757205,
        "energy": 20.071644,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 67.800003,
        "volume": 23000,
        "typical_volume": 111420.0,
        "trend": 62.738889,
        "fair_value": 68.319474,
        "relative_strength": -28.44843,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 33.786109,
        "energy": 18.029846,
        "activity_lines": [
          68.3,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 22082,
        "typical_volume": 110551.15,
        "trend": 62.882762,
        "fair_value": 68.546248,
        "relative_strength": -27.954842,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 17.994421,
        "energy": 15.111284,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 60.5,
        "volume": 27001,
        "typical_volume": 110251.2,
        "trend": 62.936726,
        "fair_value": 68.756997,
        "relative_strength": -31.047716,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": -1.688369,
        "energy": 13.083939,
        "activity_lines": [
          64.113334,
          66.809091,
          66.831093,
          65.299847
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 60.900002,
        "volume": 22000,
        "typical_volume": 110700.95,
        "trend": 63.030325,
        "fair_value": 68.978086,
        "relative_strength": -28.419621,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -18.564196,
        "energy": 21.932235,
        "activity_lines": [
          62.580001,
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          66.404072,
          65.168445
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 65.699997,
        "volume": 20000,
        "typical_volume": 110945.95,
        "trend": 63.297074,
        "fair_value": 69.229048,
        "relative_strength": -23.334902,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -13.833691,
        "energy": 20.140501,
        "activity_lines": [
          63.16,
          65.02,
          66.421291,
          65.340682
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-14",
        "close": 68.0,
        "volume": 21000,
        "typical_volume": 111445.95,
        "trend": 63.755555,
        "fair_value": 69.494753,
        "relative_strength": -22.00298,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 13.930412,
        "energy": 14.000104,
        "activity_lines": [
          64.633333,
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          65.644097
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}