{ "ticker": { "uuid": "efc0627a-6483-4c2d-b95c-87e8d039dcba", "symbol": "000090", "name": "Shenzhen Tagen Group Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -37.157, "architecture_energy": 22.269, "architecture_maturity": 75.741, "architecture_confidence": 72.588, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 48.17, "rotation_up": 24.72, "upward_expansion": 14.12, "deceleration": 46.62, "rotation_down": 29.45, "downward_expansion": 59.45 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.307496, 3.275324, 3.361685, 3.454871 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 3.37, "trend_reference": 3.581303, "distance_from_trend": -0.059002, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 3.978278, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.1529, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -11.268475, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.129199, "excess_performance": -0.136599, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.059002, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.052231, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.1529, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.022827, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.112685, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.111403, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.129199, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.167036, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 84366700, "relative_activity": 0.965104, "balance": 1.167036, "dry_up": 1.033483, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.080386, "annualized_volatility": 0.345562, "from_high_reference": -0.309426, "from_low_reference": 0.132142 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.581303, "fair_value_reference": 3.978278, "structural_low": 2.976658, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 29, "median_return": -0.002247, "positive_rate": 0.448276, "directional_follow_through": 0.551724, "median_excess_return": -0.010903, "regime_survival": 0.724138, "best_return": 0.26626, "worst_return": -0.109695, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.020548, "positive_rate": 0.636364, "directional_follow_through": 0.363636, "median_excess_return": -0.048088, "regime_survival": 0.454545, "best_return": 0.415593, "worst_return": -0.127262, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.030807, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.000805, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.294589, "worst_return": -0.116998, "sufficient": true 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3.998721, "relative_strength": -13.816828, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.966731, "energy": 71.59902, "activity_lines": [ 3.174309, 3.293457, 3.406672, 3.509704 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 3.24, "volume": 80824849, "typical_volume": 90132868.0, "trend": 3.605303, "fair_value": 3.991809, "relative_strength": -12.439697, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.005111, "energy": 57.707572, "activity_lines": [ 3.189702, 3.270383, 3.380581, 3.485039 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3.36, "volume": 78270337, "typical_volume": 88573150.35, "trend": 3.592303, "fair_value": 3.98545, "relative_strength": -7.331421, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.8906, "energy": 33.92983, "activity_lines": [ 3.255096, 3.272399, 3.369157, 3.469213 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.37, "volume": 84366700, "typical_volume": 87417214.8, "trend": 3.581303, "fair_value": 3.978278, "relative_strength": -11.268475, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -37.156644, "energy": 22.269431, "activity_lines": [ 3.307496, 3.275324, 3.361685, 3.454871 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }