{ "ticker": { "uuid": "efc4ccd3-28d0-459a-820a-d50c87e23956", "symbol": "300562", "name": "Guangdong Transtek Medical Electronics Co., Ltd", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 73.668, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 29.107, "architecture_energy": 19.165, "architecture_maturity": 15.828, "architecture_confidence": 67.402, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 38.6, "rotation_up": 51.66, "upward_expansion": 41.54, "deceleration": 31.35, "rotation_down": 25.57, "downward_expansion": 18.87 }, "activity_lines": [ 14.066667, 13.734364, 13.449625, 13.486189 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 15.42, "trend_reference": 13.691266, "distance_from_trend": 0.126265, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 12.322239, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.251396, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 6.227282, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.069621, "excess_performance": 0.062221, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.126265, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.011205, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.251396, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.045662, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.062273, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.250421, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.069621, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.676906, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 56686221, "relative_activity": 1.652129, "balance": 0.676906, "dry_up": 1.65915, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.099052, "annualized_volatility": 0.496345, "from_high_reference": -0.117236, "from_low_reference": 0.362191 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 13.691266, "fair_value_reference": 12.322239, "structural_low": 11.32, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 20, "median_return": 0.049665, "positive_rate": 0.7, "directional_follow_through": 0.7, "median_excess_return": 0.038529, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.754695, "worst_return": -0.141509, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.039232, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.01605, "regime_survival": 0.3, "best_return": 0.589565, "worst_return": -0.254778, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.137195, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.177634, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.426533, "worst_return": -0.239838, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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13.069333, 12.923106, 13.147739, 13.386502 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 14.68, "volume": 58830877, "typical_volume": 27900479.4, "trend": 13.64305, "fair_value": 12.206259, "relative_strength": -6.947296, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 14.024991, "energy": 20.194936, "activity_lines": [ 13.747333, 13.208292, 13.272826, 13.455269 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 13.18, "volume": 48202250, "typical_volume": 29255918.1, "trend": 13.641141, "fair_value": 12.231343, "relative_strength": -7.488174, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -3.158344, "energy": 16.888324, "activity_lines": [ 13.750667, 13.211273, 13.254272, 13.425394 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 12.7, "volume": 55796435, "typical_volume": 30296325.65, "trend": 13.609031, "fair_value": 12.254563, "relative_strength": -10.490092, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "down", "direction": -30.048938, "energy": 25.379394, "activity_lines": [ 13.493333, 13.15, 13.197495, 13.364676 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 13.69, "volume": 67023567, "typical_volume": 32540852.0, "trend": 13.617517, "fair_value": 12.28225, "relative_strength": -1.344119, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -11.545443, "energy": 11.12381, "activity_lines": [ 13.549333, 13.288545, 13.241149, 13.369899 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 15.42, "volume": 56686221, "typical_volume": 34311011.4, "trend": 13.691266, "fair_value": 12.322239, "relative_strength": 6.227282, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 29.107014, "energy": 19.16487, "activity_lines": [ 14.066667, 13.734364, 13.449625, 13.486189 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }