{ "ticker": { "uuid": "efd0e529-f2bd-4b2a-bc63-875c871db33d", "symbol": "ZETA", "name": "Zeta Global Holdings Corp", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 80.943, "architecture_energy": 63.874, "architecture_maturity": 22.0, "architecture_confidence": 88.47, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 23.88, "rotation_up": 69.4, "upward_expansion": 87.79, "deceleration": 44.14, "rotation_down": 13.76, "downward_expansion": 12.13 }, "activity_lines": [ 22.789333, 21.692727, 20.586857, 19.675462 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 26.64, "trend_reference": 18.875, "distance_from_trend": 0.411391, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 16.788333, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.586816, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 24.564673, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.577265, "excess_performance": 0.45164, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.411391, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.031458, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.586816, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.500953, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.245647, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.374771, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.577265, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.564012, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 87832532, "relative_activity": 2.0399, "balance": 2.564012, "dry_up": 1.108987, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.124841, "annualized_volatility": 0.713508, "from_high_reference": -0.065263, "from_low_reference": 0.854507 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 18.875, "fair_value_reference": 16.788333, "structural_low": 14.365, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 18, "median_return": 0.049225, "positive_rate": 0.611111, "directional_follow_through": 0.611111, "median_excess_return": 0.010529, "regime_survival": 0.722222, "best_return": 0.322414, "worst_return": -0.23692, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.032065, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.001988, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.75641, "worst_return": -0.33405, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.021769, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.119752, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 1.105533, "worst_return": -0.123342, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"fair_value": 16.364872, "relative_strength": 1.86251, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 45.664193, "energy": 22.776192, "activity_lines": [ 19.904, 19.939455, 18.883524, 18.581892 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 21.49, "volume": 49413427, "typical_volume": 41850528.55, "trend": 18.673333, "fair_value": 16.443654, "relative_strength": 3.903067, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.912681, "energy": 29.166833, "activity_lines": [ 20.346667, 20.293636, 19.202714, 18.769914 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 21.68, "volume": 41122201, "typical_volume": 40455678.25, "trend": 18.796333, "fair_value": 16.525385, "relative_strength": 6.165312, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.387975, "energy": 35.011742, "activity_lines": [ 20.888, 20.629818, 19.515333, 18.963892 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 19.13, "volume": 29330726, "typical_volume": 39819375.8, "trend": 18.744, "fair_value": 16.591282, "relative_strength": -5.797716, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 50.583214, "energy": 30.831847, "activity_lines": [ 20.481333, 20.419818, 19.562571, 18.985419 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 21.6, "volume": 32714311, "typical_volume": 39994972.1, "trend": 18.800333, "fair_value": 16.669936, "relative_strength": 4.889752, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.279617, "energy": 38.415796, "activity_lines": [ 20.882667, 20.623636, 19.843667, 19.169677 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 26.64, "volume": 87832532, "typical_volume": 43057280.15, "trend": 18.875, "fair_value": 16.788333, "relative_strength": 24.564673, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 80.942665, "energy": 63.87384, "activity_lines": [ 22.789333, 21.692727, 20.586857, 19.675462 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }