{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "efd205f7-a089-4a3d-8458-a86aa8c96378",
    "symbol": "RXL",
    "name": "PROSHARES TRUST PSHS ULT HLTHCRE",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 74.037,
    "architecture_energy": 58.104,
    "architecture_maturity": 13.338,
    "architecture_confidence": 77.751,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 11.8,
        "rotation_up": 72.43,
        "upward_expansion": 86.9,
        "deceleration": 49.19,
        "rotation_down": 14.92,
        "downward_expansion": 8.9
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        55.571333,
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        50.380033
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 56.9729,
    "trend_reference": 49.900622,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.141727,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 46.838016,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.216382,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 4.878628,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.070681,
    "excess_performance": -0.054944,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.141727,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.013576,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.216382,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.276466,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.048786,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.197872,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.070681,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.884091,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 92176,
      "relative_activity": 1.778417,
      "balance": 1.884091,
      "dry_up": 1.763518,
      "accumulation_observations": 5,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.064386,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.353112,
      "from_high_reference": -0.036725,
      "from_low_reference": 0.538989
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    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 46.838016,
      "structural_low": 42.607825,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 20,
        "median_return": -0.004989,
        "positive_rate": 0.45,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.45,
        "median_excess_return": -0.02106,
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        "worst_return": -0.167873,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "modifier": "Structural failure",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "typical_volume": 44220.6,
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        "fair_value": 46.275352,
        "relative_strength": -3.080445,
        "stage": 3,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "relative_strength": -9.205605,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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        "energy": 18.214906,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 54.14,
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        "typical_volume": 42793.55,
        "trend": 49.185388,
        "fair_value": 46.371684,
        "relative_strength": 7.642264,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 40.662373,
        "energy": 38.389145,
        "activity_lines": [
          50.05253,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 56.35,
        "volume": 75330,
        "typical_volume": 44021.95,
        "trend": 49.379942,
        "fair_value": 46.47275,
        "relative_strength": 9.353189,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 47.096528,
        "energy": 65.470121,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 54.2455,
        "volume": 58972,
        "typical_volume": 45006.35,
        "trend": 49.491709,
        "fair_value": 46.549847,
        "relative_strength": 3.660593,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 32.99319,
        "energy": 63.469504,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 54.26,
        "volume": 79057,
        "typical_volume": 47711.3,
        "trend": 49.586844,
        "fair_value": 46.6076,
        "relative_strength": 4.982262,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 38.391412,
        "energy": 68.287084,
        "activity_lines": [
          54.15149,
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          49.372475,
          49.20474
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 55.18,
        "volume": 54324,
        "typical_volume": 45190.35,
        "trend": 49.674102,
        "fair_value": 46.676431,
        "relative_strength": 7.101832,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 39.870776,
        "energy": 67.567941,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 55.1,
        "volume": 140058,
        "typical_volume": 49350.85,
        "trend": 49.774921,
        "fair_value": 46.757861,
        "relative_strength": 5.423066,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.26858,
        "energy": 59.590744,
        "activity_lines": [
          54.922733,
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          50.708757,
          49.915647
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 56.9729,
        "volume": 92176,
        "typical_volume": 51830.35,
        "trend": 49.900622,
        "fair_value": 46.838016,
        "relative_strength": 4.878628,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 74.037433,
        "energy": 58.104401,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}