{ "ticker": { "uuid": "efe4ae0e-5867-4b5b-bd15-ef95a8cf35b5", "symbol": "CANFINHOME", "name": "Can Fin Homes Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 92.561, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -52.606, "architecture_energy": 39.341, "architecture_maturity": 15.878, "architecture_confidence": 56.405, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 36.8, "rotation_up": 11.91, "upward_expansion": 13.61, "deceleration": 55.72, "rotation_down": 66.86, "downward_expansion": 67.94 }, "activity_lines": [ 831.613342, 852.802386, 854.214636, 854.063525 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 811.299988, "trend_reference": 860.931053, "distance_from_trend": -0.057648, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 786.629916, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.031362, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -3.738499, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.126037, "excess_performance": -0.082328, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.057648, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.016709, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.031362, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.09208, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.037385, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.126579, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.126037, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.693415, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1061011, "relative_activity": 1.37127, "balance": 0.693415, "dry_up": 1.604666, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.051621, "annualized_volatility": 0.244706, "from_high_reference": -0.1649, "from_low_reference": 0.153679 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 860.931053, "fair_value_reference": 786.629916, "structural_low": 772.0, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 24, "median_return": 0.054509, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.022655, "regime_survival": 0.541667, "best_return": 0.185676, "worst_return": -0.142322, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.075637, "positive_rate": 0.727273, "directional_follow_through": 0.727273, "median_excess_return": 0.039553, "regime_survival": 0.272727, "best_return": 0.403315, "worst_return": -0.191626, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.142974, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": 0.00767, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.504493, "worst_return": 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861.609459, 860.584305 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 818.900024, "volume": 927155, "typical_volume": 779628.5, "trend": 863.611053, "fair_value": 785.933791, "relative_strength": -1.94147, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -35.889555, "energy": 19.168688, "activity_lines": [ 850.770015, 861.230192, 858.272168, 857.438432 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 811.299988, "volume": 1061011, "typical_volume": 773743.4, "trend": 860.931053, "fair_value": 786.629916, "relative_strength": -3.738499, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.606417, "energy": 39.34096, "activity_lines": [ 831.613342, 852.802386, 854.214636, 854.063525 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }