{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "efecc2c4-3a84-4386-bd1d-daa06bd3db20",
    "symbol": "FEQD",
    "name": "Fidelity Europe Quality Income UCITS ETF EUR Acc",
    "exchange": "MIL",
    "country": "IT",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 93.792,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 87.22,
    "architecture_energy": 86.995,
    "architecture_maturity": 38.195,
    "architecture_confidence": 79.551,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 4.54,
        "rotation_up": 72.5,
        "upward_expansion": 94.05,
        "deceleration": 44.84,
        "rotation_down": 20.72,
        "downward_expansion": 18.39
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        10.051,
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        9.776348,
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      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 10.172,
    "trend_reference": 9.4547,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.075867,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 7.999122,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.27164,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -3.646297,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.108665,
    "excess_performance": -0.062227,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.075867,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.043043,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.27164,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.047148,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.036463,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.002286,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.108665,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 5.586247,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 28910,
      "relative_activity": 9.792199,
      "balance": 5.586247,
      "dry_up": 2.839264,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.013045,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.123547,
      "from_high_reference": -0.004891,
      "from_low_reference": 0.250861
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 9.4547,
      "fair_value_reference": 7.999122,
      "structural_low": 8.597,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 29,
        "median_return": 0.008984,
        "positive_rate": 0.517241,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.517241,
        "median_excess_return": -0.002556,
        "regime_survival": 0.793103,
        "best_return": 0.05208,
        "worst_return": -0.060727,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 10,
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        "positive_rate": 0.7,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.7,
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        "regime_survival": 0.6,
        "best_return": 0.058845,
        "worst_return": -0.008656,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.061873,
        "positive_rate": 0.833333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.833333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.035996,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
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        "worst_return": -0.003932,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.149582,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
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        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
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        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 5221.45,
        "trend": 8.985233,
        "fair_value": 7.733821,
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 3797.5,
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "relative_strength": -3.601807,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "trend": 9.133533,
        "fair_value": 7.826308,
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "relative_strength": -2.72944,
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        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 85.036792,
        "energy": 93.285742,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 2917.5,
        "trend": 9.262933,
        "fair_value": 7.889667,
        "relative_strength": -3.927348,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "volume": 2643,
        "typical_volume": 2828.0,
        "trend": 9.302667,
        "fair_value": 7.911705,
        "relative_strength": -4.781851,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.163824,
        "energy": 87.936506,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 9.912,
        "volume": 52,
        "typical_volume": 2421.65,
        "trend": 9.340567,
        "fair_value": 7.932558,
        "relative_strength": -3.049007,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.250479,
        "energy": 87.519292,
        "activity_lines": [
          9.911333,
          9.809164,
          9.604448,
          9.487447
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 9.978,
        "volume": 2155,
        "typical_volume": 2225.4,
        "trend": 9.380667,
        "fair_value": 7.953833,
        "relative_strength": -2.167761,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 74.374353,
        "energy": 84.985622,
        "activity_lines": [
          9.9404,
          9.860673,
          9.65721,
          9.528572
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 10.066,
        "volume": 2413,
        "typical_volume": 1993.1,
        "trend": 9.419,
        "fair_value": 7.976224,
        "relative_strength": -1.888573,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 80.872322,
        "energy": 75.255464,
        "activity_lines": [
          9.984667,
          9.915491,
          9.71419,
          9.572787
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 10.172,
        "volume": 28910,
        "typical_volume": 2952.35,
        "trend": 9.4547,
        "fair_value": 7.999122,
        "relative_strength": -3.646297,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 87.220236,
        "energy": 86.995083,
        "activity_lines": [
          10.051,
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          9.776348,
          9.621368
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}