{ "ticker": { "uuid": "eff80b93-e296-4aee-ad79-d7a408ade642", "symbol": "BBAS3", "name": "Banco do Brasil S.A.", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -44.25, "architecture_energy": 25.21, "architecture_maturity": 71.327, "architecture_confidence": 74.89, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 38.41, "rotation_up": 27.36, "upward_expansion": 20.19, "deceleration": 46.32, "rotation_down": 26.78, "downward_expansion": 56.52 }, "activity_lines": [ 20.554, 20.364909, 20.578352, 21.325731 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 20.059999, "trend_reference": 22.276343, "distance_from_trend": -0.099493, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 23.144965, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.133289, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -11.552506, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.166501, "excess_performance": -0.109453, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.099493, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.0226, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.133289, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.069189, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.115525, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.051711, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.166501, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.556535, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 73318400, "relative_activity": 0.877353, "balance": 0.556535, "dry_up": 1.024301, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.050332, "annualized_volatility": 0.282685, "from_high_reference": -0.276794, "from_low_reference": 0.086683 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 22.276343, "fair_value_reference": 23.144965, "structural_low": 19.17, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.01535, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": 0.0052, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.165668, "worst_return": -0.181899, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.043901, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.027305, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.164396, "worst_return": -0.037896, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.052123, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.163058, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": -0.02833, "worst_return": -0.060255, "sufficient": false }, 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34.611705, "activity_lines": [ 20.320667, 20.099115, 20.837754, 21.665985 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 20.35, "volume": 92547900, "typical_volume": 89176195.0, "trend": 22.331668, "fair_value": 23.136305, "relative_strength": -11.543008, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -42.044122, "energy": 32.164116, "activity_lines": [ 20.383333, 20.145583, 20.710969, 21.535418 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 21.35, "volume": 81327400, "typical_volume": 86703670.0, "trend": 22.328473, "fair_value": 23.144878, "relative_strength": -9.042342, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -34.495551, "energy": 25.488847, "activity_lines": [ 20.717333, 20.377585, 20.700375, 21.472084 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 20.059999, "volume": 73318400, "typical_volume": 83567770.0, "trend": 22.276343, "fair_value": 23.144965, "relative_strength": -11.552506, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -44.250137, "energy": 25.210421, "activity_lines": [ 20.554, 20.364909, 20.578352, 21.325731 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }