{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f0072319-fa1d-4f56-893d-88653fcd08e3", "symbol": "002689", "name": "Shenyang Yuanda Intellectual Industry Group Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -61.877, "architecture_energy": 56.837, "architecture_maturity": 87.113, "architecture_confidence": 91.714, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 11.38, "rotation_up": 26.66, "upward_expansion": 10.52, "deceleration": 60.54, "rotation_down": 50.3, "downward_expansion": 81.52 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.610667, 2.642364, 2.870128, 3.075113 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 2.67, "trend_reference": 3.307419, "distance_from_trend": -0.192724, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 3.57497, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.253141, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -29.36774, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.314952, "excess_performance": -0.322352, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.192724, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.11366, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.253141, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.189406, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.293677, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.015878, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.314952, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.505808, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 34725549, "relative_activity": 1.035142, "balance": 0.505808, "dry_up": 1.077652, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.090187, "annualized_volatility": 0.365876, "from_high_reference": -0.49856, "from_low_reference": 0.103306 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.307419, "fair_value_reference": 3.57497, "structural_low": 2.42, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 20, "median_return": -0.014317, "positive_rate": 0.45, "directional_follow_through": 0.55, "median_excess_return": 0.025539, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.182663, "worst_return": -0.204461, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.011926, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": 0.054221, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.748899, "worst_return": -0.275413, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.025522, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.156021, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.779736, "worst_return": -0.297214, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, 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"direction": -71.675137, "energy": 86.266192, "activity_lines": [ 2.674667, 2.823662, 3.109012, 3.268123 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 2.71, "volume": 32030209, "typical_volume": 37569280.4, "trend": 3.369632, "fair_value": 3.609268, "relative_strength": -27.911496, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.847417, "energy": 65.453341, "activity_lines": [ 2.679333, 2.775681, 3.049739, 3.224621 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2.45, "volume": 41435942, "typical_volume": 34966993.25, "trend": 3.344018, "fair_value": 3.595825, "relative_strength": -34.285138, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -79.677905, "energy": 68.137011, "activity_lines": [ 2.606, 2.694145, 2.971967, 3.16529 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.6, "volume": 36414713, "typical_volume": 34169955.05, "trend": 3.323732, "fair_value": 3.584605, "relative_strength": -28.405881, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.69574, "energy": 62.343651, "activity_lines": [ 2.601333, 2.656, 2.914906, 3.117289 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.67, "volume": 34725549, "typical_volume": 33546642.2, "trend": 3.307419, "fair_value": 3.57497, "relative_strength": -29.36774, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.876753, "energy": 56.837102, "activity_lines": [ 2.610667, 2.642364, 2.870128, 3.075113 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }