{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f0197b6b-9d8e-4bcc-8ce1-cfe20f10dd85", "symbol": "PARKHOTELS", "name": "PARKHOTELS", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 88.546, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Emerging rotation", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 33.89, "architecture_energy": 16.75, "architecture_maturity": 22.128, "architecture_confidence": 63.98, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 51.19, "rotation_up": 36.36, "upward_expansion": 62.38, "deceleration": 80.8, "rotation_down": 23.84, "downward_expansion": 14.71 }, "activity_lines": [ 122.382665, 122.718909, 121.312381, 120.226688 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 119.919998, "trend_reference": 120.034333, "distance_from_trend": -0.000953, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 155.64823, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.229545, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -7.321837, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.044614, "excess_performance": -0.000905, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.000953, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.039387, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.229545, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.042761, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.073218, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.033137, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.044614, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.264509, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 718794, "relative_activity": 0.738446, "balance": 0.264509, "dry_up": 0.812304, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.060252, "annualized_volatility": 0.283948, "from_high_reference": -0.266929, "from_low_reference": 0.260988 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 120.034333, "fair_value_reference": 155.64823, "structural_low": 95.099998, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": 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127.650002, "volume": 1094495, "typical_volume": 1248295.7, "trend": 121.412333, "fair_value": 156.695872, "relative_strength": -1.679732, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 28.021795, "energy": 38.123229, "activity_lines": [ 124.159334, 121.429636, 119.660762, 119.767355 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 125.900002, "volume": 1428551, "typical_volume": 1244496.25, "trend": 121.096667, "fair_value": 156.453385, "relative_strength": -3.072397, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 31.86864, "energy": 47.256336, "activity_lines": [ 125.332001, 122.343273, 120.405381, 120.056882 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 122.389999, "volume": 549419, "typical_volume": 1210470.05, "trend": 120.692333, "fair_value": 156.187265, "relative_strength": -3.163329, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 28.530712, "energy": 42.912745, "activity_lines": [ 124.690001, 122.688364, 120.814762, 120.140323 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 122.379997, "volume": 465979, "typical_volume": 1127500.4, "trend": 120.269, "fair_value": 155.925193, "relative_strength": -5.201207, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 24.818456, "energy": 28.066444, "activity_lines": [ 123.951333, 122.971636, 121.204571, 120.249204 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 119.919998, "volume": 718794, "typical_volume": 973386.75, "trend": 120.034333, "fair_value": 155.64823, "relative_strength": -7.321837, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "up", "direction": 33.890169, "energy": 16.749848, "activity_lines": [ 122.382665, 122.718909, 121.312381, 120.226688 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }