{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "f01ef374-ef02-4ec1-b117-c70633c3ba01",
    "symbol": "EGRO",
    "name": "BNP Paribas Easy Growth Europe UCITS ETF EUR Cap",
    "exchange": "PAR",
    "country": "FR",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FCHI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 91.133,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 89.66,
    "architecture_energy": 91.811,
    "architecture_maturity": 28.449,
    "architecture_confidence": 82.204,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 6.84,
        "rotation_up": 68.96,
        "upward_expansion": 94.57,
        "deceleration": 45.04,
        "rotation_down": 20.79,
        "downward_expansion": 21.23
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        11.881333,
        11.797709,
        11.575219,
        11.406344
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 12.124,
    "trend_reference": 11.2486,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.077823,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 10.744417,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.1284,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 2.78553,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.096401,
    "excess_performance": 0.043089,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.077823,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.029155,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.1284,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.073241,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.027855,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.004927,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.096401,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.062433,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 51,
      "relative_activity": 0.116678,
      "balance": 0.062433,
      "dry_up": 0.058339,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.015227,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.172892,
      "from_high_reference": 0.0,
      "from_low_reference": 0.198261
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 11.2486,
      "fair_value_reference": 10.744417,
      "structural_low": 10.118,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 19,
        "median_return": -0.01194,
        "positive_rate": 0.315789,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.315789,
        "median_excess_return": -0.001523,
        "regime_survival": 0.631579,
        "best_return": 0.060461,
        "worst_return": -0.066631,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.015415,
        "positive_rate": 0.571429,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.571429,
        "median_excess_return": -0.004708,
        "regime_survival": 0.285714,
        "best_return": 0.045043,
        "worst_return": -0.069838,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.000468,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.01012,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.043536,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.002571,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
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        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": 0.069921,
        "worst_return": -0.02607,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2025-06-06",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "color": "amber",
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        "active": false
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 59.29221,
        "energy": 41.697046,
        "activity_lines": [
          11.1392,
          10.982036,
          10.977171,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 10.938,
        "volume": 2570,
        "typical_volume": 969.45,
        "trend": 10.906467,
        "fair_value": 10.647776,
        "relative_strength": 1.605224,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 44.430092,
        "energy": 29.40195,
        "activity_lines": [
          11.068533,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 11.254,
        "volume": 51,
        "typical_volume": 930.35,
        "trend": 10.918667,
        "fair_value": 10.653712,
        "relative_strength": 2.454732,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 55.471223,
        "energy": 28.247475,
        "activity_lines": [
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          10.997343,
          10.971888
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 11.35,
        "volume": 18,
        "typical_volume": 907.35,
        "trend": 10.929933,
        "fair_value": 10.660891,
        "relative_strength": 2.487739,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 60.079067,
        "energy": 37.341363,
        "activity_lines": [
          11.1968,
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          11.029314,
          10.999716
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 11.28,
        "volume": 76,
        "typical_volume": 903.2,
        "trend": 10.951133,
        "fair_value": 10.666635,
        "relative_strength": 1.449957,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 53.836596,
        "energy": 37.264331,
        "activity_lines": [
          11.244667,
          11.182873,
          11.053543,
          11.022301
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 11.438,
        "volume": 5,
        "typical_volume": 665.1,
        "trend": 10.9738,
        "fair_value": 10.672199,
        "relative_strength": 1.315958,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.180356,
        "energy": 60.232796,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 11.492,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 660.2,
        "trend": 10.999933,
        "fair_value": 10.680314,
        "relative_strength": 0.983608,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.762327,
        "energy": 68.046584,
        "activity_lines": [
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          11.087144
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 11.658,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 645.65,
        "trend": 11.038067,
        "fair_value": 10.688212,
        "relative_strength": 2.862579,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 77.92068,
        "energy": 76.16936,
        "activity_lines": [
          11.4988,
          11.3676,
          11.192895,
          11.1296
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 11.962,
        "volume": 8,
        "typical_volume": 621.95,
        "trend": 11.0814,
        "fair_value": 10.698878,
        "relative_strength": 3.991046,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 88.743306,
        "energy": 88.393317,
        "activity_lines": [
          11.6716,
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          11.275914,
          11.189209
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 11.728,
        "volume": 141,
        "typical_volume": 611.2,
        "trend": 11.118733,
        "fair_value": 10.707173,
        "relative_strength": 3.985533,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.936366,
        "energy": 81.99195,
        "activity_lines": [
          11.7256,
          11.562618,
          11.332457,
          11.230925
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 11.728,
        "volume": 10,
        "typical_volume": 611.25,
        "trend": 11.151133,
        "fair_value": 10.715109,
        "relative_strength": 3.935751,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.019193,
        "energy": 84.29433,
        "activity_lines": [
          11.749733,
          11.616218,
          11.38659,
          11.270232
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 11.728,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 608.35,
        "trend": 11.183867,
        "fair_value": 10.722981,
        "relative_strength": 3.495684,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.827768,
        "energy": 84.780752,
        "activity_lines": [
          11.754533,
          11.6608,
          11.438457,
          11.307449
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 11.808,
        "volume": 41,
        "typical_volume": 537.8,
        "trend": 11.215267,
        "fair_value": 10.732763,
        "relative_strength": 2.570451,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.916454,
        "energy": 74.557699,
        "activity_lines": [
          11.770267,
          11.705564,
          11.49379,
          11.347716
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 12.124,
        "volume": 51,
        "typical_volume": 437.1,
        "trend": 11.2486,
        "fair_value": 10.744417,
        "relative_strength": 2.78553,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 89.660349,
        "energy": 91.811111,
        "activity_lines": [
          11.881333,
          11.797709,
          11.575219,
          11.406344
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}