{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f0268508-185e-46e6-9abc-9899beddf98b", "symbol": "5G2", "name": "Kim Heng Limited", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -65.99, "architecture_energy": 56.568, "architecture_maturity": 31.953, "architecture_confidence": 91.361, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.05, "rotation_up": 17.42, "upward_expansion": 9.98, "deceleration": 45.59, "rotation_down": 61.96, "downward_expansion": 83.32 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.077733, 0.079164, 0.081233, 0.08309 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 0.077, "trend_reference": 0.0855, "distance_from_trend": -0.099415, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.084179, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.085282, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -25.612928, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.134831, "excess_performance": -0.289667, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.099415, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.022112, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.085282, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.080058, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.256129, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.142646, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.134831, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.653681, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 82900, "relative_activity": 0.124742, "balance": 0.653681, "dry_up": 0.287592, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.048951, "annualized_volatility": 0.345849, "from_high_reference": -0.222222, "from_low_reference": 0.069444 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.0855, "fair_value_reference": 0.084179, "structural_low": 0.072, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 23, "median_return": -0.011765, "positive_rate": 0.391304, "directional_follow_through": 0.521739, "median_excess_return": -0.014713, "regime_survival": 0.826087, "best_return": 0.239437, "worst_return": -0.131579, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.07865, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": 0.007882, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.33735, "worst_return": -0.117647, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.166671, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.09944, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.405065, "worst_return": -0.094118, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"gate": "down", "direction": -82.870022, "energy": 75.815905, "activity_lines": [ 0.080133, 0.081618, 0.083581, 0.085105 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.082, "volume": 474600, "typical_volume": 856425.0, "trend": 0.086467, "fair_value": 0.084526, "relative_strength": -20.019935, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.648428, "energy": 58.223728, "activity_lines": [ 0.080333, 0.081527, 0.083276, 0.084811 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.078, "volume": 101000, "typical_volume": 845345.0, "trend": 0.086267, "fair_value": 0.084406, "relative_strength": -24.380821, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.547665, "energy": 66.215541, "activity_lines": [ 0.079333, 0.080764, 0.082619, 0.084265 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.077, "volume": 106000, "typical_volume": 831825.0, "trend": 0.085933, "fair_value": 0.084267, "relative_strength": -25.298832, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.971184, "energy": 71.025442, "activity_lines": [ 0.0784, 0.079927, 0.081914, 0.083667 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.077, "volume": 82900, "typical_volume": 664570.0, "trend": 0.0855, "fair_value": 0.084179, "relative_strength": -25.612928, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.989952, "energy": 56.567906, "activity_lines": [ 0.077733, 0.079164, 0.081233, 0.08309 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }