{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "f029faff-4fb8-4f80-a666-d92349365055",
    "symbol": "F",
    "name": "Ford Motor Company",
    "exchange": "MEX",
    "country": "MX",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^MXX",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 77.727,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 45.94,
    "architecture_energy": 25.183,
    "architecture_maturity": 27.339,
    "architecture_confidence": 59.743,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 47.61,
        "rotation_up": 38.11,
        "upward_expansion": 66.61,
        "deceleration": 68.29,
        "rotation_down": 22.27,
        "downward_expansion": 6.95
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        249.372668,
        247.527274,
        245.505567,
        239.789276
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 248.830002,
    "trend_reference": 235.496832,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.056617,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 214.85152,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.158149,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 4.042376,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.046519,
    "excess_performance": 0.101185,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.056617,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.007312,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.158149,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.168307,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.040424,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.186154,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.046519,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 102.674419,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 5,
      "relative_activity": 0.005575,
      "balance": 102.674419,
      "dry_up": 0.42036,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.085817,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.464911,
      "from_high_reference": -0.193681,
      "from_low_reference": 0.238176
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 235.496832,
      "fair_value_reference": 214.85152,
      "structural_low": 200.964967,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": 0.012794,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": -0.042625,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
        "best_return": 0.055293,
        "worst_return": -0.163225,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.120081,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.148329,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.18318,
        "worst_return": -0.250123,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.053317,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": -0.023414,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
        "best_return": 0.530963,
        "worst_return": -0.144115,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.091629,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.130939,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.044519,
        "worst_return": -0.138738,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-11-29",
        "end": "2024-12-06",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.057861,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-12-13",
        "end": "2024-12-27",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.027804,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-01-03",
        "end": "2025-05-09",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.013105,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-05-16",
        "end": "2025-07-04",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.045677,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-08-08",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.053288,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-08-15",
        "end": "2025-08-22",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.023474,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-12-26",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.100714,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-01-02",
        "end": "2026-01-09",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.075523,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2026-01-23",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.017485,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-01-30",
        "end": "2026-03-13",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.1192,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-03-20",
        "end": "2026-04-03",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.007783,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2026-05-15",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.097247,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2026-06-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.044612,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "start": "2026-07-03",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
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        "return": 0.03511,
        "active": true
      }
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "fair_value": 214.099652,
        "relative_strength": 0.491751,
        "stage": 2,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 1068.35,
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        "fair_value": 214.076075,
        "relative_strength": 3.077751,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 31.820339,
        "energy": 21.689511,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 1061.7,
        "trend": 234.896849,
        "fair_value": 214.146722,
        "relative_strength": 3.610854,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 32.67752,
        "energy": 18.601351,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 250.740005,
        "volume": 998,
        "typical_volume": 977.7,
        "trend": 235.315225,
        "fair_value": 214.346772,
        "relative_strength": 5.911244,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 37.563286,
        "energy": 18.88841,
        "activity_lines": [
          246.508669,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 252.0,
        "volume": 351,
        "typical_volume": 918.3,
        "trend": 235.759289,
        "fair_value": 214.56304,
        "relative_strength": 5.445419,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 50.172501,
        "energy": 26.055226,
        "activity_lines": [
          248.652668,
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          244.220928,
          238.946004
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 248.830002,
        "volume": 5,
        "typical_volume": 896.85,
        "trend": 235.496832,
        "fair_value": 214.85152,
        "relative_strength": 4.042376,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 45.939613,
        "energy": 25.18268,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}