{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "f02b7198-c661-44bb-a9b7-5aebea1b3326",
    "symbol": "2106",
    "name": "Kenda Rubber Industrial Co. Ltd.",
    "exchange": "TAI",
    "country": "TW",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-21",
    "benchmark": "^TWII",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch",
    "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch",
    "confidence": 49.3,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": 22.339,
    "architecture_energy": 15.607,
    "architecture_maturity": 11.2,
    "architecture_confidence": 49.448,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 52.85,
        "rotation_up": 43.9,
        "upward_expansion": 47.18,
        "deceleration": 43.28,
        "rotation_down": 25.9,
        "downward_expansion": 7.84
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        17.776666,
        17.757272,
        17.445209,
        17.44291
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 17.65,
    "trend_reference": 17.656681,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.000378,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 23.760029,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.257156,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -31.416882,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.074899,
    "excess_performance": -0.420631,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.000378,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.033208,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.257156,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.085858,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.314169,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.147977,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.074899,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.619025,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 7087694,
      "relative_activity": 1.531369,
      "balance": 1.619025,
      "dry_up": 1.64894,
      "accumulation_observations": 5,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.055983,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.228597,
      "from_high_reference": -0.15977,
      "from_low_reference": 0.116891
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 17.656681,
      "fair_value_reference": 23.760029,
      "structural_low": 15.802801,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 13,
        "median_return": 0.001704,
        "positive_rate": 0.615385,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.615385,
        "median_excess_return": 0.01193,
        "regime_survival": 0.461538,
        "best_return": 0.128125,
        "worst_return": -0.130199,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": -0.019017,
        "positive_rate": 0.428571,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.428571,
        "median_excess_return": -0.009441,
        "regime_survival": 0.285714,
        "best_return": 0.202317,
        "worst_return": -0.173717,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.004824,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": -0.094205,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.145958,
        "worst_return": -0.230479,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.045478,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.176402,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.02564,
        "worst_return": -0.319562,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2023-06-30",
        "end": "2023-10-06",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.023539,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2023-10-13",
        "end": "2023-11-10",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.001704,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "violet",
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        "end": "2023-11-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.007974,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2023-12-29",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.022152,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-03-22",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.00321,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2024-07-26",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.028749,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-08-16",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.032508,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-08-23",
        "end": "2024-09-27",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.014516,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-10-04",
        "end": "2025-03-14",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.087379,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-04-04",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.041591,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-11",
        "end": "2026-07-03",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.203812,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
      {
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      },
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "date": "2026-07-10",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
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        "volume": 9449824,
        "typical_volume": 4261815.1,
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        "fair_value": 23.925722,
        "relative_strength": -29.536128,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 24.8293,
        "energy": 32.04334,
        "activity_lines": [
          17.906667,
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          17.440681
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 18.049999,
        "volume": 5116499,
        "typical_volume": 4295564.6,
        "trend": 17.742432,
        "fair_value": 23.872414,
        "relative_strength": -30.51591,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 22.557692,
        "energy": 36.315518,
        "activity_lines": [
          17.98,
          17.761421,
          17.382505,
          17.458933
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-14",
        "close": 17.549999,
        "volume": 8873389,
        "typical_volume": 4538007.8,
        "trend": 17.70592,
        "fair_value": 23.817331,
        "relative_strength": -33.70299,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 15.38473,
        "energy": 16.715505,
        "activity_lines": [
          17.866666,
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          17.409699,
          17.446517
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-21",
        "close": 17.65,
        "volume": 7087694,
        "typical_volume": 4628337.3,
        "trend": 17.656681,
        "fair_value": 23.760029,
        "relative_strength": -31.416882,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 22.339396,
        "energy": 15.607484,
        "activity_lines": [
          17.776666,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}