{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f03c67a4-1b52-42e3-9b70-f1fa2c79fcf4", "symbol": "VO2", "name": "Vo2 Cap Holding AB (publ)", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -65.275, "architecture_energy": 62.911, "architecture_maturity": 29.516, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 6.25, "rotation_up": 18.14, "upward_expansion": 13.35, "deceleration": 39.53, "rotation_down": 63.29, "downward_expansion": 89.02 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.005333, 2.028727, 2.065476, 2.115957 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 1.99, "trend_reference": 2.196333, "distance_from_trend": -0.093944, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2.604487, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.235934, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -19.342444, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.127193, "excess_performance": -0.188687, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.093944, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.019494, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.235934, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.013756, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.193424, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.087156, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.127193, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.33847, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 8432, "relative_activity": 0.213234, "balance": 0.33847, "dry_up": 0.713824, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.046386, "annualized_volatility": 0.314666, "from_high_reference": -0.286738, "from_low_reference": 0.047368 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.196333, "fair_value_reference": 2.604487, "structural_low": 1.935, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 34, "median_return": -0.027791, "positive_rate": 0.382353, "directional_follow_through": 0.617647, "median_excess_return": -0.040145, "regime_survival": 0.882353, "best_return": 0.511475, "worst_return": -0.411936, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.179245, "positive_rate": 0.272727, "directional_follow_through": 0.727273, "median_excess_return": -0.136923, "regime_survival": 0.636364, "best_return": 0.366492, "worst_return": -0.500568, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.10728, "positive_rate": 0.142857, "directional_follow_through": 0.857143, "median_excess_return": -0.181046, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.081803, "worst_return": -0.624291, "sufficient": true }, { 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2.215333, "fair_value": 2.649872, "relative_strength": -17.729131, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.320667, "energy": 46.886602, "activity_lines": [ 2.03, 2.050364, 2.087571, 2.14329 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.01, "volume": 29014, "typical_volume": 39728.35, "trend": 2.208333, "fair_value": 2.626346, "relative_strength": -17.57398, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.962707, "energy": 48.741238, "activity_lines": [ 2.019333, 2.04, 2.076714, 2.130043 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.99, "volume": 8432, "typical_volume": 39543.35, "trend": 2.196333, "fair_value": 2.604487, "relative_strength": -19.342444, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.27472, "energy": 62.910906, "activity_lines": [ 2.005333, 2.028727, 2.065476, 2.115957 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }