{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f03ee345-016c-4011-92e4-bcf05a2e4930", "symbol": "600606", "name": "Greenland Holdings Corporation Limited", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -59.479, "architecture_energy": 45.226, "architecture_maturity": 88.348, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 13.54, "rotation_up": 25.35, "upward_expansion": 6.67, "deceleration": 53.48, "rotation_down": 50.23, "downward_expansion": 80.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.269333, 1.274182, 1.337143, 1.395333 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 1.28, "trend_reference": 1.476667, "distance_from_trend": -0.133183, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 1.900321, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.326429, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -20.406856, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.219512, "excess_performance": -0.176308, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.133183, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.088852, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.326429, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.099853, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.204069, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.033993, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.219512, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.339066, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 518134147, "relative_activity": 1.130622, "balance": 0.339066, "dry_up": 1.199469, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.080529, "annualized_volatility": 0.346781, "from_high_reference": -0.399061, "from_low_reference": 0.057851 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.476667, "fair_value_reference": 1.900321, "structural_low": 1.21, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 39, "median_return": -0.034934, "positive_rate": 0.358974, "directional_follow_through": 0.615385, "median_excess_return": -0.006632, "regime_survival": 0.871795, "best_return": 0.507246, "worst_return": -0.258065, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.114458, "positive_rate": 0.307692, "directional_follow_through": 0.692308, "median_excess_return": -0.100529, "regime_survival": 0.692308, "best_return": 0.485714, "worst_return": -0.267016, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.134102, "positive_rate": 0.142857, "directional_follow_through": 0.857143, "median_excess_return": -0.104265, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.435714, "worst_return": -0.391304, "sufficient": true 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"fair_value": 1.930128, "relative_strength": -21.659018, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.476154, "energy": 68.228588, "activity_lines": [ 1.259333, 1.306545, 1.380476, 1.440258 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.23, "volume": 518099571, "typical_volume": 458752240.15, "trend": 1.501333, "fair_value": 1.920128, "relative_strength": -22.487744, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.847278, "energy": 60.848693, "activity_lines": [ 1.246667, 1.284545, 1.360381, 1.421828 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.3, "volume": 515627094, "typical_volume": 462242162.3, "trend": 1.489333, "fair_value": 1.910641, "relative_strength": -17.678072, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.529576, "energy": 50.289341, "activity_lines": [ 1.263333, 1.280182, 1.348905, 1.408839 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.28, "volume": 518134147, "typical_volume": 458273700.6, "trend": 1.476667, "fair_value": 1.900321, "relative_strength": -20.406856, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.479102, "energy": 45.22573, "activity_lines": [ 1.269333, 1.274182, 1.337143, 1.395333 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }