{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f0466ecc-7703-4e9e-95d5-4992ff4830ba", "symbol": "J1EF34", "name": "Jefferies Financial Group Inc.", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 45.368, "architecture_energy": 56.426, "architecture_maturity": 19.652, "architecture_confidence": 62.36, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 29.21, "rotation_up": 50.53, "upward_expansion": 62.36, "deceleration": 25.64, "rotation_down": 35.23, "downward_expansion": 20.69 }, "activity_lines": [ 270.643341, 269.705461, 263.942275, 256.880708 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 273.730011, "trend_reference": 258.904141, "distance_from_trend": 0.057264, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 271.57123, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.007949, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -7.947767, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.125037, "excess_performance": -0.067988, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.057264, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.049054, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.007949, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.091998, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.079478, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.229022, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.125037, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 93.181818, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 900, "relative_activity": 16.014235, "balance": 93.181818, "dry_up": 4.030249, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.028045, "annualized_volatility": 0.478602, "from_high_reference": -0.244978, "from_low_reference": 0.456347 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 258.904141, "fair_value_reference": 271.57123, 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"relative_strength": -12.416637, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 29.799452, "energy": 42.541908, "activity_lines": [ 268.060004, 268.387823, 256.870547, 255.387052 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 269.100006, "volume": 6, "typical_volume": 83.2, "trend": 262.926116, "fair_value": 270.207293, "relative_strength": -11.854241, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 27.002706, "energy": 38.392976, "activity_lines": [ 268.233337, 268.681278, 259.415458, 255.648796 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 269.100006, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 82.35, "trend": 260.809255, "fair_value": 270.878876, "relative_strength": -12.971693, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 28.154093, "energy": 43.065938, "activity_lines": [ 268.580005, 268.902733, 261.651588, 256.047111 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 273.730011, "volume": 900, "typical_volume": 56.2, "trend": 258.904141, "fair_value": 271.57123, "relative_strength": -7.947767, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 45.367633, "energy": 56.426209, "activity_lines": [ 270.643341, 269.705461, 263.942275, 256.880708 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }