{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "f04c4fcc-8931-4252-9339-fb528d76931f",
    "symbol": "PUST",
    "name": "Amundi PEA Nasdaq-100 UCITS ETF Acc",
    "exchange": "PAR",
    "country": "FR",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FCHI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 46.809,
    "architecture_energy": 30.497,
    "architecture_maturity": 68.963,
    "architecture_confidence": 91.72,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 28.31,
        "rotation_up": 31.32,
        "upward_expansion": 62.1,
        "deceleration": 85.49,
        "rotation_down": 31.08,
        "downward_expansion": 21.1
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        100.788001,
        101.817455,
        101.001286,
        97.811033
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 103.18,
    "trend_reference": 93.839,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.099543,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 76.672547,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.345723,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 7.049515,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.218613,
    "excess_performance": 0.165302,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.099543,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.059438,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.345723,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.017516,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.070495,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.094526,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.218613,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.632369,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 266753,
      "relative_activity": 1.660425,
      "balance": 1.632369,
      "dry_up": 1.263327,
      "accumulation_observations": 5,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.034741,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.187252,
      "from_high_reference": -0.030081,
      "from_low_reference": 0.307234
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 93.839,
      "fair_value_reference": 76.672547,
      "structural_low": 80.720001,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.014708,
        "positive_rate": 0.625,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.625,
        "median_excess_return": 0.015587,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.08805,
        "worst_return": -0.069701,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.042553,
        "positive_rate": 0.8,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.8,
        "median_excess_return": 0.055193,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.166864,
        "worst_return": -0.11649,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.084711,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.064296,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.2102,
        "worst_return": -0.000193,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.068997,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.092508,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.354524,
        "worst_return": -0.144294,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2023-10-27",
        "end": "2023-11-24",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.084881,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2023-12-01",
        "end": "2024-04-26",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.131094,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-05-03",
        "end": "2024-05-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.030431,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-05-24",
        "end": "2024-08-02",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.028637,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-08-09",
        "end": "2024-10-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.097929,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-10-18",
        "end": "2025-02-28",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.059129,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-03-07",
        "end": "2025-04-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.1182,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-18",
        "end": "2025-05-30",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.167417,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-06-06",
        "end": "2025-07-04",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.010837,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-07-11",
        "end": "2025-08-22",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.03251,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-08-29",
        "end": "2026-01-30",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.079816,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-02-06",
        "end": "2026-05-01",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.101807,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "start": "2026-05-08",
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        "return": 0.010596,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-07-24",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.032833,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
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        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 50.070324,
        "energy": 47.53579,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "volume": 145654,
        "typical_volume": 175321.45,
        "trend": 86.573911,
        "fair_value": 72.365496,
        "relative_strength": 10.255966,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 76.569617,
        "energy": 77.955182,
        "activity_lines": [
          91.142,
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          86.941286,
          86.770585
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 99.089996,
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        "typical_volume": 177404.55,
        "trend": 87.051244,
        "fair_value": 72.687162,
        "relative_strength": 16.502143,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 91.871075,
        "energy": 94.185201,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 100.940002,
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        "typical_volume": 184975.3,
        "trend": 87.599911,
        "fair_value": 73.008124,
        "relative_strength": 20.412886,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 90.817577,
        "energy": 96.20307,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 188870.6,
        "trend": 88.099667,
        "fair_value": 73.325367,
        "relative_strength": 19.103965,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 87.441539,
        "energy": 95.117389,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 104.260002,
        "volume": 234070,
        "typical_volume": 191776.65,
        "trend": 88.574334,
        "fair_value": 73.646778,
        "relative_strength": 19.535311,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
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        "activity_lines": [
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          90.475441
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "volume": 49465,
        "typical_volume": 186529.35,
        "trend": 89.160334,
        "fair_value": 73.962034,
        "relative_strength": 17.103781,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 72.407247,
        "energy": 89.837088,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 102.860001,
        "volume": 98477,
        "typical_volume": 180439.5,
        "trend": 89.697001,
        "fair_value": 74.266393,
        "relative_strength": 14.487208,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "fair_value": 74.598444,
        "relative_strength": 16.728264,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 103.139999,
        "volume": 39532,
        "typical_volume": 161309.2,
        "trend": 90.954001,
        "fair_value": 74.904406,
        "relative_strength": 13.338484,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.154609,
        "energy": 65.837089,
        "activity_lines": [
          103.982667,
          102.742728,
          97.308572,
          94.18314
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 104.019997,
        "volume": 44668,
        "typical_volume": 154235.2,
        "trend": 91.473334,
        "fair_value": 75.21838,
        "relative_strength": 12.219489,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.71984,
        "energy": 64.759379,
        "activity_lines": [
          104.015999,
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          98.365857,
          95.026108
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 104.5,
        "volume": 200460,
        "typical_volume": 155576.4,
        "trend": 92.088334,
        "fair_value": 75.531714,
        "relative_strength": 14.507575,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.372926,
        "energy": 64.552331,
        "activity_lines": [
          104.225333,
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          99.372048,
          95.866538
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 100.139999,
        "volume": 161558,
        "typical_volume": 154730.9,
        "trend": 92.537334,
        "fair_value": 75.817355,
        "relative_strength": 9.375108,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 51.121012,
        "energy": 50.751844,
        "activity_lines": [
          102.886666,
          103.252,
          99.870381,
          96.386
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 99.900002,
        "volume": 127728,
        "typical_volume": 148893.4,
        "trend": 92.962334,
        "fair_value": 76.092034,
        "relative_strength": 8.339036,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 47.112051,
        "energy": 39.927014,
        "activity_lines": [
          101.649333,
          102.658182,
          100.272286,
          96.861011
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 97.860001,
        "volume": 255792,
        "typical_volume": 152726.8,
        "trend": 93.352334,
        "fair_value": 76.361137,
        "relative_strength": 4.229634,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 37.65725,
        "energy": 27.572876,
        "activity_lines": [
          100.156,
          101.712364,
          100.412429,
          97.17699
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 103.18,
        "volume": 266753,
        "typical_volume": 160653.4,
        "trend": 93.839,
        "fair_value": 76.672547,
        "relative_strength": 7.049515,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 46.808988,
        "energy": 30.497069,
        "activity_lines": [
          100.788001,
          101.817455,
          101.001286,
          97.811033
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}