{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f07366f6-0f47-4278-9688-ae8da98a4a17", "symbol": "MAHSEAMLES", "name": "Maharashtra Seamless Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 67.378, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -24.063, "architecture_energy": 51.701, "architecture_maturity": 2.22, "architecture_confidence": 70.188, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 31.8, "rotation_up": 14.52, "upward_expansion": 25.83, "deceleration": 50.09, "rotation_down": 65.89, "downward_expansion": 53.17 }, "activity_lines": [ 578.923332, 591.364547, 607.418572, 602.768495 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 589.700012, "trend_reference": 588.081667, "distance_from_trend": 0.002752, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 669.722288, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.119486, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 0.65062, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.119613, "excess_performance": 0.163322, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.002752, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.023855, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.119486, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.109641, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.006506, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.096741, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.119613, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.209987, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 485260, "relative_activity": 0.955175, "balance": 0.209987, "dry_up": 0.69416, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.04754, "annualized_volatility": 0.178137, "from_high_reference": -0.145362, "from_low_reference": 0.177751 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 588.081667, "fair_value_reference": 669.722288, "structural_low": 522.0, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.000617, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.005246, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.131239, "worst_return": -0.068198, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.067254, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.072877, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.24171, "worst_return": -0.107203, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.270043, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.285011, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.663002, "worst_return": -0.122916, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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"energy": 17.310468, "activity_lines": [ 600.896679, 611.177279, 617.652146, 604.775593 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 571.549988, "volume": 297334, "typical_volume": 578494.65, "trend": 586.06, "fair_value": 668.319551, "relative_strength": 0.329933, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "up", "direction": -15.492725, "energy": 35.090056, "activity_lines": [ 588.216671, 602.537277, 613.937383, 603.883227 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 565.349976, "volume": 328364, "typical_volume": 543158.35, "trend": 586.268333, "fair_value": 668.894327, "relative_strength": -2.974653, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -34.981715, "energy": 57.309077, "activity_lines": [ 577.409994, 594.100909, 609.555475, 602.547096 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 589.700012, "volume": 485260, "typical_volume": 508032.65, "trend": 588.081667, "fair_value": 669.722288, "relative_strength": 0.65062, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -24.062936, "energy": 51.700816, "activity_lines": [ 578.923332, 591.364547, 607.418572, 602.768495 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }