{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "f07abeb1-a5b2-40e7-8320-3135da6a5d27",
    "symbol": "NA",
    "name": "National Bank of Canada",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 63.514,
    "architecture_energy": 62.601,
    "architecture_maturity": 94.714,
    "architecture_confidence": 74.25,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 19.17,
        "rotation_up": 54.95,
        "upward_expansion": 82.77,
        "deceleration": 71.2,
        "rotation_down": 24.89,
        "downward_expansion": 11.77
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        228.34,
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        218.144739,
        210.004181
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 227.570007,
    "trend_reference": 198.340642,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.14737,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 133.520942,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.704377,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 12.76605,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.35548,
    "excess_performance": 0.235059,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.14737,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.101844,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.704377,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.022597,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.127661,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.027651,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.35548,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.000552,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 4518000,
      "relative_activity": 0.899867,
      "balance": 1.000552,
      "dry_up": 1.078671,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.037326,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.20803,
      "from_high_reference": -0.040315,
      "from_low_reference": 0.644411
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 198.340642,
      "fair_value_reference": 133.520942,
      "structural_low": 167.63064,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 40,
        "median_return": 0.027606,
        "positive_rate": 0.65,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.65,
        "median_excess_return": 0.003436,
        "regime_survival": 0.75,
        "best_return": 0.155631,
        "worst_return": -0.084787,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 15,
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        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "worst_return": -0.091315,
        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "worst_return": -0.027597,
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "fair_value": 130.940008,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 227.399994,
        "volume": 5747700,
        "typical_volume": 5369385.0,
        "trend": 194.687135,
        "fair_value": 131.80028,
        "relative_strength": 16.850298,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 226.75,
        "volume": 6390100,
        "typical_volume": 5358830.0,
        "trend": 196.510814,
        "fair_value": 132.663645,
        "relative_strength": 16.482405,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.022108,
        "energy": 65.943024,
        "activity_lines": [
          228.58733,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 227.570007,
        "volume": 4518000,
        "typical_volume": 5020740.0,
        "trend": 198.340642,
        "fair_value": 133.520942,
        "relative_strength": 12.76605,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.513515,
        "energy": 62.600921,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}