{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f08e9142-1920-4257-ab7f-2c31ef9cf44c", "symbol": "USGO", "name": "U.S. GoldMining Inc. Common stock", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -61.464, "architecture_energy": 50.616, "architecture_maturity": 53.949, "architecture_confidence": 93.446, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 13.26, "rotation_up": 25.92, "upward_expansion": 8.46, "deceleration": 59.18, "rotation_down": 51.51, "downward_expansion": 81.79 }, "activity_lines": [ 8.017333, 8.110727, 9.190024, 9.950849 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 8.64, "trend_reference": 10.908167, "distance_from_trend": -0.207933, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 8.770903, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.014925, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -29.506975, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.310455, "excess_performance": -0.497909, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.207933, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.041026, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.014925, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.499646, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.29507, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.355804, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.310455, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.611521, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 557547, "relative_activity": 1.84197, "balance": 0.611521, "dry_up": 1.032333, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.144363, "annualized_volatility": 0.609209, "from_high_reference": -0.519466, "from_low_reference": 0.206232 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 10.908167, "fair_value_reference": 8.770903, "structural_low": 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-31.704182, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.386072, "energy": 60.760453, "activity_lines": [ 8.214667, 8.550909, 9.934381, 10.543828 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 7.48, "volume": 240943, "typical_volume": 314295.55, "trend": 10.968167, "fair_value": 8.806801, "relative_strength": -35.874362, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.722262, "energy": 63.027383, "activity_lines": [ 7.946667, 8.244909, 9.620452, 10.313323 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 7.64, "volume": 221878, "typical_volume": 300320.1, "trend": 10.930167, "fair_value": 8.78366, "relative_strength": -34.642631, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.674651, "energy": 60.777894, "activity_lines": [ 7.796667, 8.062, 9.348238, 10.098602 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 8.64, "volume": 557547, "typical_volume": 302690.65, "trend": 10.908167, "fair_value": 8.770903, "relative_strength": -29.506975, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.463625, "energy": 50.615907, "activity_lines": [ 8.017333, 8.110727, 9.190024, 9.950849 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }