{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "f09b9a29-3438-42a9-8316-7790a79f79ab",
    "symbol": "ASALCBR",
    "name": "Associated Alcohols & Breweries Limited",
    "exchange": "NSI",
    "country": "IN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^NSEI",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -41.377,
    "architecture_energy": 57.841,
    "architecture_maturity": 32.576,
    "architecture_confidence": 85.411,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 34.66,
        "rotation_up": 17.31,
        "upward_expansion": 28.29,
        "deceleration": 46.73,
        "rotation_down": 72.31,
        "downward_expansion": 55.62
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        823.891195,
        821.338712
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 732.900024,
    "trend_reference": 820.895001,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.107194,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 838.829011,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.126282,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -17.883837,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.140696,
    "excess_performance": -0.096987,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.107194,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.060349,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.126282,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.24324,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.178838,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.137338,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.140696,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.487986,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 184628,
      "relative_activity": 1.274916,
      "balance": 0.487986,
      "dry_up": 1.244954,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.070027,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.395105,
      "from_high_reference": -0.426077,
      "from_low_reference": 0.109362
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 820.895001,
      "fair_value_reference": 838.829011,
      "structural_low": 660.650024,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 13,
        "median_return": -0.004016,
        "positive_rate": 0.461538,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.461538,
        "median_excess_return": -0.008066,
        "regime_survival": 0.384615,
        "best_return": 0.357477,
        "worst_return": -0.102506,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": -0.027834,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.053208,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.286863,
        "worst_return": -0.18277,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.020263,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.037066,
        "regime_survival": 0.166667,
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        "worst_return": -0.16464,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.125445,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.009829,
        "worst_return": -0.180411,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "end": "2024-11-29",
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        "return": 0.023376,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2025-02-28",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-03-14",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.003615,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-05-23",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.016651,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-05-30",
        "end": "2025-06-20",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.017676,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-06-27",
        "end": "2025-07-11",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.066554,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "end": "2025-10-24",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.014434,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "balance",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 821.450012,
        "volume": 171964,
        "typical_volume": 158564.9,
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        "fair_value": 835.101053,
        "relative_strength": -5.938029,
        "stage": 4,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 765.900024,
        "volume": 241925,
        "typical_volume": 161082.5,
        "trend": 826.558333,
        "fair_value": 837.075588,
        "relative_strength": -14.092062,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -31.534023,
        "energy": 37.436428,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 732.900024,
        "volume": 184628,
        "typical_volume": 144815.85,
        "trend": 820.895001,
        "fair_value": 838.829011,
        "relative_strength": -17.883837,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -41.377118,
        "energy": 57.840577,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}