{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "f0a032c8-3a7f-4352-9ee8-4b8c695257ce",
    "symbol": "8089",
    "name": "Comtrend Corporation",
    "exchange": "TWO",
    "country": "TW",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-14",
    "benchmark": "^TWII",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -68.187,
    "architecture_energy": 55.314,
    "architecture_maturity": 100.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 86.287,
    "architecture_tenure": "Extended",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 10.99,
        "rotation_up": 16.64,
        "upward_expansion": 8.45,
        "deceleration": 46.65,
        "rotation_down": 69.2,
        "downward_expansion": 86.45
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 17.9,
    "trend_reference": 22.231667,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.194842,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 48.607135,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.631741,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -54.548769,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.320683,
    "excess_performance": -0.762055,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.194842,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.123645,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.631741,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.044523,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.545488,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.051819,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.320683,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.518775,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 377242,
      "relative_activity": 0.255369,
      "balance": 0.518775,
      "dry_up": 0.526576,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.102707,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.337995,
      "from_high_reference": -0.584183,
      "from_low_reference": 0.043732
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 22.231667,
      "fair_value_reference": 48.607135,
      "structural_low": 17.15,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 39,
        "median_return": -0.030488,
        "positive_rate": 0.358974,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.641026,
        "median_excess_return": -0.016885,
        "regime_survival": 0.897436,
        "best_return": 1.118227,
        "worst_return": -0.188776,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 12,
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        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": 0.331536,
        "worst_return": -0.29681,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "worst_return": -0.482653,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "worst_return": -0.662217,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 18.950001,
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        "typical_volume": 1528707.4,
        "trend": 23.241667,
        "fair_value": 48.604366,
        "relative_strength": -53.171189,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -64.861852,
        "energy": 53.781436,
        "activity_lines": [
          19.246667,
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          20.440476,
          21.499032
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 18.450001,
        "volume": 1333203,
        "typical_volume": 1545038.85,
        "trend": 22.926667,
        "fair_value": 48.607289,
        "relative_strength": -52.665375,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -67.8498,
        "energy": 52.329512,
        "activity_lines": [
          18.910001,
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          20.184286,
          21.189893
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 18.15,
        "volume": 597610,
        "typical_volume": 1489209.05,
        "trend": 22.585,
        "fair_value": 48.609117,
        "relative_strength": -53.412577,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -68.710535,
        "energy": 59.574317,
        "activity_lines": [
          18.55,
          19.197273,
          19.925238,
          20.881721
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-14",
        "close": 17.9,
        "volume": 377242,
        "typical_volume": 1477244.55,
        "trend": 22.231667,
        "fair_value": 48.607135,
        "relative_strength": -54.548769,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -68.186575,
        "energy": 55.313803,
        "activity_lines": [
          18.246667,
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          19.67,
          20.579462
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}