{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f0a31688-0e8c-4b8d-ad97-9de1dfaf1a1d", "symbol": "002673", "name": "Western Securities Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -35.888, "architecture_energy": 19.735, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 77.033, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 42.98, "rotation_up": 26.97, "upward_expansion": 18.79, "deceleration": 46.78, "rotation_down": 27.66, "downward_expansion": 57.46 }, "activity_lines": [ 6.668667, 6.612364, 6.657974, 6.840721 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 6.74, "trend_reference": 7.139369, "distance_from_trend": -0.055939, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 7.317948, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.078977, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -15.749393, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.158552, "excess_performance": -0.165952, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.055939, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.067916, "read": "Falling" 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6.21, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 28, "median_return": 0.005865, "positive_rate": 0.535714, "directional_follow_through": 0.464286, "median_excess_return": 0.003749, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.347287, "worst_return": -0.156206, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.028025, "positive_rate": 0.545455, "directional_follow_through": 0.454545, "median_excess_return": 0.027251, "regime_survival": 0.545455, "best_return": 0.589242, "worst_return": -0.203105, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.002957, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": 0.0115, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.271492, "worst_return": -0.180905, "sufficient": true }, { 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7.311395, "relative_strength": -16.107691, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -46.752584, "energy": 37.01549, "activity_lines": [ 6.570667, 6.538297, 6.711227, 6.946943 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 6.52, "volume": 172371765, "typical_volume": 116062067.35, "trend": 7.220369, "fair_value": 7.313052, "relative_strength": -16.955933, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -45.979092, "energy": 33.585906, "activity_lines": [ 6.562667, 6.531468, 6.673603, 6.898661 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 6.76, "volume": 149697528, "typical_volume": 117622025.2, "trend": 7.177702, "fair_value": 7.315502, "relative_strength": -11.8085, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -40.373259, "energy": 27.403156, "activity_lines": [ 6.628667, 6.574505, 6.664551, 6.86896 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 6.74, "volume": 114729346, "typical_volume": 116594816.55, "trend": 7.139369, "fair_value": 7.317948, "relative_strength": -15.749393, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -35.888218, "energy": 19.735369, "activity_lines": [ 6.668667, 6.612364, 6.657974, 6.840721 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }