{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f0a8420a-d5d5-4c6e-85fb-d9144f668085", "symbol": "SSII", "name": "SS Innovations International Inc. Common Stock", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -35.641, "architecture_energy": 19.345, "architecture_maturity": 93.567, "architecture_confidence": 77.481, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 43.93, "rotation_up": 25.25, "upward_expansion": 17.78, "deceleration": 44.03, "rotation_down": 30.43, "downward_expansion": 56.44 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.751, 3.685636, 3.771667, 3.955699 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 3.77, "trend_reference": 4.214667, "distance_from_trend": -0.105505, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 6.171955, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.389172, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -38.045583, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.005277, "excess_performance": -0.192731, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.105505, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.157684, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.389172, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.058552, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.380456, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.084362, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.005277, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.806593, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 300691, "relative_activity": 1.03779, "balance": 0.806593, "dry_up": 1.391489, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.140802, "annualized_volatility": 0.57516, "from_high_reference": -0.623, "from_low_reference": 0.212219 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 4.214667, "fair_value_reference": 6.171955, "structural_low": 3.22, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 21, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.014581, "regime_survival": 0.857143, "best_return": 10.71875, "worst_return": -0.928412, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.2, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": -0.251053, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.392786, "worst_return": -0.375, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.264515, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.376074, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.106212, "worst_return": -0.5, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-10-18", "end": "2024-12-20", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.428571, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-12-27", "end": "2025-03-21", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.175, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-03-28", "end": "2025-06-13", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.623404, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-06-20", "end": "2025-07-04", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.228324, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-07-11", "end": "2025-08-22", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.400802, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-08-29", "end": "2025-10-17", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.391429, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-10-24", "end": "2025-11-14", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.306191, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-11-21", "end": "2025-12-12", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.078859, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-12-19", "end": "2026-01-09", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.035808, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-01-16", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.36425, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 14.65, "volume": 6105, "typical_volume": 6628.1, "trend": 10.8783, "fair_value": 4.506044, "relative_strength": 71.231075, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 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281213.05, "trend": 4.473667, "fair_value": 6.476346, "relative_strength": -41.744036, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.875707, "energy": 37.278306, "activity_lines": [ 3.626, 3.654727, 3.911905, 4.124376 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 3.64, "volume": 284731, "typical_volume": 279146.4, "trend": 4.404167, "fair_value": 6.400321, "relative_strength": -40.479285, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -44.720817, "energy": 29.573403, "activity_lines": [ 3.656667, 3.642364, 3.862714, 4.070591 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 3.475, "volume": 513145, "typical_volume": 293232.7, "trend": 4.328667, "fair_value": 6.322917, "relative_strength": -41.27383, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.847251, "energy": 28.156679, "activity_lines": [ 3.613667, 3.604182, 3.803143, 4.010645 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3.98, "volume": 514123, "typical_volume": 287499.5, "trend": 4.273, "fair_value": 6.24875, "relative_strength": -32.286478, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -38.073391, "energy": 20.649602, "activity_lines": [ 3.738667, 3.664818, 3.796262, 3.988151 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.77, "volume": 300691, "typical_volume": 289741.75, "trend": 4.214667, "fair_value": 6.171955, "relative_strength": -38.045583, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -35.640828, "energy": 19.345249, "activity_lines": [ 3.751, 3.685636, 3.771667, 3.955699 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }