{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f0ccd18a-a1da-4236-8df1-2641c2ce6474", "symbol": "BAJFINANCE", "name": "Bajaj Finance Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 80.305, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 66.911, "architecture_energy": 75.296, "architecture_maturity": 16.563, "architecture_confidence": 78.999, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 13.23, "rotation_up": 76.32, "upward_expansion": 92.68, "deceleration": 43.39, "rotation_down": 9.82, "downward_expansion": 17.02 }, "activity_lines": [ 1075.086658, 1041.855574, 991.355976, 968.819394 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 1078.0, "trend_reference": 952.260543, "distance_from_trend": 0.132043, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 826.496939, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.3043, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 11.903837, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.098095, "excess_performance": 0.141804, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.132043, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.002903, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.3043, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.122755, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.119038, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.089655, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.098095, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.699, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 50437083, "relative_activity": 1.354456, "balance": 0.699, "dry_up": 1.398058, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.058132, "annualized_volatility": 0.349927, "from_high_reference": -0.083645, "from_low_reference": 0.368194 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 952.260543, "fair_value_reference": 826.496939, "structural_low": 787.900024, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 25, "median_return": 0.004183, "positive_rate": 0.52, "directional_follow_through": 0.52, "median_excess_return": -0.014351, "regime_survival": 0.72, "best_return": 0.208714, "worst_return": -0.090063, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.008007, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.013484, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.260106, "worst_return": -0.150863, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.083847, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.016845, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.248234, "worst_return": -0.247484, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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75.296183, "activity_lines": [ 1075.086658, 1041.855574, 991.355976, 968.819394 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }