{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "f0cf1588-bfca-4e17-8e8a-895f05e35e2c",
    "symbol": "IMMNOV",
    "name": "Immunovia AB (publ)",
    "exchange": "STO",
    "country": "SE",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^OMX",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -63.214,
    "architecture_energy": 56.381,
    "architecture_maturity": 40.005,
    "architecture_confidence": 85.606,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 34.94,
        "rotation_up": 16.57,
        "upward_expansion": 16.13,
        "deceleration": 32.42,
        "rotation_down": 64.52,
        "downward_expansion": 84.8
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.175973,
        0.181844,
        0.18783,
        0.18839
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 0.1658,
    "trend_reference": 0.1895,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.125066,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 0.41893,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.60423,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -43.696584,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.114316,
    "excess_performance": -0.175811,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.125066,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.124725,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.60423,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.032575,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.436966,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.019647,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.114316,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.424771,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 18104026,
      "relative_activity": 0.93546,
      "balance": 1.424771,
      "dry_up": 0.552215,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.128654,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.650008,
      "from_high_reference": -0.779713,
      "from_low_reference": 0.103862
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.1895,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.41893,
      "structural_low": 0.1502,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 18,
        "median_return": -0.056365,
        "positive_rate": 0.277778,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.277778,
        "median_excess_return": -0.057384,
        "regime_survival": 0.611111,
        "best_return": 0.245639,
        "worst_return": -0.300976,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": -0.18692,
        "positive_rate": 0.222222,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.222222,
        "median_excess_return": -0.176186,
        "regime_survival": 0.555556,
        "best_return": 0.481916,
        "worst_return": -0.749343,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.441283,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.435245,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": -0.221128,
        "worst_return": -0.922301,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.712628,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.687525,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": -0.460942,
        "worst_return": -0.966925,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "end": "2023-12-22",
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        "return": -0.242194,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-03-22",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.249436,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2024-04-12",
        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "end": "2024-07-26",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.064995,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2024-09-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "end": "2024-11-01",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-11-08",
        "end": "2025-06-06",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.223201,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-06-20",
        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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      },
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        "date": "2026-04-17",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 0.175,
        "volume": 8267661,
        "typical_volume": 20030460.7,
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        "fair_value": 0.422847,
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        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -40.880837,
        "energy": 22.298891,
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          0.1856,
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          0.19091
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.1796,
        "volume": 9737716,
        "typical_volume": 19488305.1,
        "trend": 0.19144,
        "fair_value": 0.421002,
        "relative_strength": -39.47266,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -38.352674,
        "energy": 30.339289,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.182773,
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          0.190259,
          0.190045
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.1658,
        "volume": 18104026,
        "typical_volume": 19353078.8,
        "trend": 0.1895,
        "fair_value": 0.41893,
        "relative_strength": -43.696584,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -63.213688,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}