{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f0d0339f-249b-4e4a-8719-736232f1d166", "symbol": "000812", "name": "Shaanxi Jinye Science Technology and Education Group Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -46.825, "architecture_energy": 36.923, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 91.636, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 21.42, "rotation_up": 27.23, "upward_expansion": 17.7, "deceleration": 47.0, "rotation_down": 38.83, "downward_expansion": 67.7 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.362, 3.323818, 3.493667, 3.671075 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 3.45, "trend_reference": 3.937333, "distance_from_trend": -0.123772, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 4.462952, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.226969, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -22.974468, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.241758, "excess_performance": -0.249158, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.123772, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.113745, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.226969, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.114915, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.229745, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.04884, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.241758, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.426165, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 88125708, "relative_activity": 1.517828, "balance": 0.426165, "dry_up": 1.415453, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.076254, "annualized_volatility": 0.254859, "from_high_reference": -0.395797, "from_low_reference": 0.127451 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.937333, "fair_value_reference": 4.462952, "structural_low": 3.06, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 28, "median_return": 0.003584, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.004316, "regime_survival": 0.785714, "best_return": 0.216901, "worst_return": -0.152506, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.023133, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.003233, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.372222, "worst_return": -0.174497, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.085751, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.082246, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 1.103896, "worst_return": -0.214008, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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-25.895877, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.366516, "energy": 76.906187, "activity_lines": [ 3.238667, 3.353091, 3.600905, 3.801054 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 3.2, "volume": 64535884, "typical_volume": 54479057.35, "trend": 4.034667, "fair_value": 4.487172, "relative_strength": -27.430247, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.174404, "energy": 65.165025, "activity_lines": [ 3.226, 3.302364, 3.544381, 3.743097 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3.45, "volume": 99401944, "typical_volume": 56532200.8, "trend": 3.981667, "fair_value": 4.476456, "relative_strength": -19.790453, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.603441, "energy": 51.225618, "activity_lines": [ 3.304667, 3.309455, 3.517095, 3.705376 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.45, "volume": 88125708, "typical_volume": 58060396.2, "trend": 3.937333, "fair_value": 4.462952, "relative_strength": -22.974468, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -46.825392, "energy": 36.923338, "activity_lines": [ 3.362, 3.323818, 3.493667, 3.671075 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }