{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f0d70d6e-5b5a-4e32-a576-4741b082870e", "symbol": "NOSA", "name": "Nosa Plugs AB", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -69.393, "architecture_energy": 68.614, "architecture_maturity": 24.435, "architecture_confidence": 93.621, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 6.58, "rotation_up": 13.78, "upward_expansion": 15.28, "deceleration": 37.63, "rotation_down": 71.6, "downward_expansion": 93.28 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.490267, 0.502691, 0.525271, 0.537699 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 0.48, "trend_reference": 0.552, "distance_from_trend": -0.130435, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.698654, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.312964, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -28.302809, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.304348, "excess_performance": -0.365842, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.130435, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.023988, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.312964, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.129584, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.283028, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.071361, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.304348, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.241437, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 551109, "relative_activity": 0.493108, "balance": 0.241437, "dry_up": 0.590574, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.083974, "annualized_volatility": 0.363323, "from_high_reference": -0.472527, "from_low_reference": 0.020191 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.552, "fair_value_reference": 0.698654, "structural_low": 0.4725, 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"relative_strength": -27.033909, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.845525, "energy": 66.828871, "activity_lines": [ 0.498133, 0.509782, 0.531329, 0.54251 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.48, "volume": 551109, "typical_volume": 1117622.35, "trend": 0.552, "fair_value": 0.698654, "relative_strength": -28.302809, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.392648, "energy": 68.614126, "activity_lines": [ 0.490267, 0.502691, 0.525271, 0.537699 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }