{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "f0d9ca35-ae84-4826-85be-6c3f61afaa09",
    "symbol": "1419",
    "name": "Shinkong Textile Co., Ltd.",
    "exchange": "TAI",
    "country": "TW",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-14",
    "benchmark": "^TWII",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 62.31,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": 22.318,
    "architecture_energy": 16.174,
    "architecture_maturity": 22.907,
    "architecture_confidence": 43.122,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 46.31,
        "rotation_up": 42.24,
        "upward_expansion": 47.69,
        "deceleration": 34.83,
        "rotation_down": 27.18,
        "downward_expansion": 8.36
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        63.724454
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Stable",
      "rotation_direction": "Stable",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 65.0,
    "trend_reference": 64.271353,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.011337,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 50.431158,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.288886,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -25.489423,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.01425,
    "excess_performance": -0.455622,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.011337,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.011054,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.288886,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.058016,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.254894,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.023888,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.01425,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.553648,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 242382,
      "relative_activity": 0.358519,
      "balance": 1.553648,
      "dry_up": 1.055207,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.050589,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.232708,
      "from_high_reference": -0.172848,
      "from_low_reference": 0.318222
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 64.271353,
      "fair_value_reference": 50.431158,
      "structural_low": 56.700304,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.006388,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": -0.000456,
        "regime_survival": 0.625,
        "best_return": 0.149013,
        "worst_return": -0.024262,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
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        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.299821,
        "worst_return": -0.038462,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.049603,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.080484,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.059829,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
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        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.097571,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.213218,
        "worst_return": -0.007199,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2024-09-06",
        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-12-06",
        "end": "2025-02-21",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.045161,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.002304,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "end": "2025-05-16",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.090389,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2025-07-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.222073,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-10-10",
        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "end": "2025-10-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "end": "2026-04-24",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": true
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        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "fair_value": 49.130554,
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "energy": 11.736728,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "fair_value": 49.778254,
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        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -8.443262,
        "energy": 8.956818,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "volume": 472815,
        "typical_volume": 670630.4,
        "trend": 64.532664,
        "fair_value": 49.943692,
        "relative_strength": -23.699152,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 13.491245,
        "energy": 11.102808,
        "activity_lines": [
          64.571566,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 65.745125,
        "volume": 1288462,
        "typical_volume": 683091.45,
        "trend": 64.509971,
        "fair_value": 50.115027,
        "relative_strength": -21.048909,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 27.072837,
        "energy": 18.838193,
        "activity_lines": [
          65.012461,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 64.0,
        "volume": 849894,
        "typical_volume": 688292.75,
        "trend": 64.464768,
        "fair_value": 50.268601,
        "relative_strength": -24.532562,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 20.192132,
        "energy": 13.066763,
        "activity_lines": [
          64.735489,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-14",
        "close": 65.0,
        "volume": 242382,
        "typical_volume": 676064.5,
        "trend": 64.271353,
        "fair_value": 50.431158,
        "relative_strength": -25.489423,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 22.317861,
        "energy": 16.173587,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}