{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f0e227d7-7f4a-4834-8ee4-9c93c9af43e6", "symbol": "5543", "name": "Buima Group Inc.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -72.778, "architecture_energy": 71.82, "architecture_maturity": 11.709, "architecture_confidence": 74.71, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 20.92, "rotation_up": 8.71, "upward_expansion": 14.97, "deceleration": 37.21, "rotation_down": 76.67, "downward_expansion": 90.63 }, "activity_lines": [ 26.026667, 27.23, 28.205477, 28.260645 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 25.0, "trend_reference": 28.453333, "distance_from_trend": -0.121368, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 30.58909, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.182715, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -33.465815, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.166667, "excess_performance": -0.608039, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.121368, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.013749, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.182715, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.087907, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.334658, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.133757, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.166667, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.724569, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 482001, "relative_activity": 3.877266, "balance": 2.724569, "dry_up": 1.281026, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.089385, "annualized_volatility": 0.333644, "from_high_reference": -0.322493, "from_low_reference": 0.315789 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 28.453333, "fair_value_reference": 30.58909, "structural_low": 23.6, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 33, "median_return": 0.003236, "positive_rate": 0.515152, "directional_follow_through": 0.484848, "median_excess_return": -0.007459, "regime_survival": 0.848485, "best_return": 0.157697, "worst_return": -0.436813, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.037428, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.070246, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.130273, "worst_return": -0.336111, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.073444, "positive_rate": 0.166667, "directional_follow_through": 0.833333, "median_excess_return": -0.137824, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.113692, "worst_return": -0.380277, "sufficient": true }, { 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29.673334, 29.679091, 29.005953, 28.989248 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 28.950001, "volume": 44010, "typical_volume": 135694.6, "trend": 29.088334, "fair_value": 31.29138, "relative_strength": -27.087833, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 6.536544, "energy": 5.627924, "activity_lines": [ 29.386668, 29.553637, 29.045953, 28.981721 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 28.6, "volume": 30000, "typical_volume": 132794.6, "trend": 29.053334, "fair_value": 31.180069, "relative_strength": -25.285504, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -4.128338, "energy": 7.160592, "activity_lines": [ 29.050001, 29.374546, 29.057619, 28.950215 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 29.1, "volume": 20048, "typical_volume": 121371.75, "trend": 29.04, "fair_value": 31.069592, "relative_strength": -18.817928, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -2.536395, "energy": 6.861525, "activity_lines": [ 28.973334, 29.307273, 29.11881, 28.953226 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 28.450001, "volume": 28000, "typical_volume": 111321.4, "trend": 29.036667, "fair_value": 30.964138, "relative_strength": -22.037005, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -11.950068, "energy": 12.033638, "activity_lines": [ 28.770001, 29.125455, 29.105477, 28.915162 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 27.6, "volume": 53000, "typical_volume": 108621.2, "trend": 29.008334, "fair_value": 30.848788, "relative_strength": -23.060692, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -49.312216, "energy": 32.627256, "activity_lines": [ 28.35, 28.797273, 29.000477, 28.822473 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 24.15, "volume": 74000, "typical_volume": 103416.05, "trend": 28.85, "fair_value": 30.713399, "relative_strength": -33.869206, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.019019, "energy": 66.102999, "activity_lines": [ 26.886667, 27.883637, 28.554524, 28.509033 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 25.0, "volume": 482001, "typical_volume": 124314.65, "trend": 28.453333, "fair_value": 30.58909, "relative_strength": -33.465815, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.777829, "energy": 71.819977, "activity_lines": [ 26.026667, 27.23, 28.205477, 28.260645 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }