{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f0e6872c-0ad0-40bc-8ac2-1d24b6a56b24", "symbol": "601778", "name": "Jinko Power Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -65.607, "architecture_energy": 83.863, "architecture_maturity": 20.182, "architecture_confidence": 93.336, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 15.18, "rotation_up": 11.49, "upward_expansion": 21.43, "deceleration": 37.1, "rotation_down": 72.48, "downward_expansion": 94.76 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.646, 3.873297, 4.682906, 4.930729 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 3.88, "trend_reference": 5.021162, "distance_from_trend": -0.227271, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 3.504023, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.107299, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -12.490044, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.091335, "excess_performance": -0.048131, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.227271, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.039778, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.107299, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.982494, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.1249, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.805592, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.091335, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.377414, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 801306206, "relative_activity": 0.607258, "balance": 0.377414, "dry_up": 0.575713, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.154198, "annualized_volatility": 0.751922, "from_high_reference": -0.507614, "from_low_reference": 0.263844 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 5.021162, "fair_value_reference": 3.504023, "structural_low": 3.26, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 27, "median_return": -0.010695, "positive_rate": 0.407407, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": -0.000518, "regime_survival": 0.814815, "best_return": 0.246808, "worst_return": -0.197952, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.045014, "positive_rate": 0.3, "directional_follow_through": 0.7, "median_excess_return": -0.017238, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.340425, "worst_return": -0.256662, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.080689, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.103936, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.326865, "worst_return": -0.277575, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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-11.969938, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -36.180048, "energy": 60.697752, "activity_lines": [ 4.25257, 4.799111, 5.387047, 5.310018 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 3.35, "volume": 593287602, "typical_volume": 1504536519.4, "trend": 5.039496, "fair_value": 3.52573, "relative_strength": -20.826037, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -55.559786, "energy": 74.752001, "activity_lines": [ 3.901379, 4.430972, 5.179738, 5.200976 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 3.41, "volume": 963942934, "typical_volume": 1490666316.15, "trend": 5.023496, "fair_value": 3.516726, "relative_strength": -20.39985, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -50.120803, "energy": 78.175875, "activity_lines": [ 3.663425, 4.146312, 4.985048, 5.095847 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3.6, "volume": 680187520, "typical_volume": 1372105014.6, "trend": 5.015829, "fair_value": 3.509002, "relative_strength": -16.386999, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.29315, "energy": 85.736804, "activity_lines": [ 3.584, 3.959911, 4.815406, 5.004008 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.88, "volume": 801306206, "typical_volume": 1319548718.45, "trend": 5.021162, "fair_value": 3.504023, "relative_strength": -12.490044, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.606839, "energy": 83.862807, "activity_lines": [ 3.646, 3.873297, 4.682906, 4.930729 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }