{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f0e82bfe-a164-4c75-b0a3-efa0507092c9", "symbol": "SHRENIK", "name": "Shrenik Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -72.358, "architecture_energy": 78.32, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 80.267, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 7.47, "rotation_up": 9.49, "upward_expansion": 17.56, "deceleration": 37.2, "rotation_down": 80.32, "downward_expansion": 95.56 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.336667, 0.351273, 0.365429, 0.375183 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 0.33, "trend_reference": 0.386667, "distance_from_trend": -0.146552, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.730192, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.548064, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -25.162588, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.153846, "excess_performance": -0.110137, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.146552, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.111792, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.548064, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.058035, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.251626, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.072114, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.153846, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.0, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3058382, "relative_activity": 2.214744, "balance": 0.0, "dry_up": 1.424781, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.079254, "annualized_volatility": 0.268124, "from_high_reference": -0.492308, "from_low_reference": 0.03125 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.386667, "fair_value_reference": 0.730192, "structural_low": 0.32, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 50, "median_return": -0.034144, "positive_rate": 0.28, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.042332, "regime_survival": 0.92, "best_return": 0.157895, "worst_return": -0.2, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": -0.05, "positive_rate": 0.352941, "directional_follow_through": 0.647059, "median_excess_return": -0.082054, "regime_survival": 0.823529, "best_return": 1.424242, "worst_return": -0.388889, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.141403, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.237856, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.904762, "worst_return": -0.416667, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 5, 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"Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2023-09-22", "end": "2023-12-08", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.1, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2023-12-15", "end": "2024-02-09", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.206897, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-02-16", "end": "2024-03-15", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.047619, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2024-03-22", "end": "2024-04-19", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-04-26", "end": "2024-06-28", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.115789, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-07-05", "end": "2024-07-19", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.340909, 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"typical_volume": 1285633.15, "trend": 0.394, "fair_value": 0.738141, "relative_strength": -21.864606, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.515281, "energy": 68.127237, "activity_lines": [ 0.356, 0.364909, 0.375048, 0.383204 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.33, "volume": 1967132, "typical_volume": 1292565.4, "trend": 0.390333, "fair_value": 0.734167, "relative_strength": -25.352773, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.211848, "energy": 77.465382, "activity_lines": [ 0.344, 0.357636, 0.370048, 0.379075 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.33, "volume": 3058382, "typical_volume": 1380919.05, "trend": 0.386667, "fair_value": 0.730192, "relative_strength": -25.162588, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.358163, "energy": 78.320109, "activity_lines": [ 0.336667, 0.351273, 0.365429, 0.375183 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }