{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f0ecbea4-8208-433d-9acf-566345cb6935", "symbol": "9003", "name": "Sotetsu Holdings, Inc.", "exchange": "JPX", "country": "JP", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-21", "benchmark": "^N225", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 94.683, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -14.95, "architecture_energy": 9.914, "architecture_maturity": 66.81, "architecture_confidence": 48.179, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 54.73, "rotation_up": 26.87, "upward_expansion": 26.14, "deceleration": 49.89, "rotation_down": 24.72, "downward_expansion": 50.47 }, "activity_lines": [ 2567.1, 2555.290909, 2544.461905, 2604.337131 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 2635.0, "trend_reference": 2679.88737, "distance_from_trend": -0.01675, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2477.868332, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.063414, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -17.851652, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.082012, "excess_performance": -0.243746, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.01675, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.02768, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.063414, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.026237, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.178517, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.063344, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.082012, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.121033, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1256300, "relative_activity": 1.282259, "balance": 1.121033, "dry_up": 1.726044, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.044169, "annualized_volatility": 0.261733, "from_high_reference": -0.167982, "from_low_reference": 0.113223 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2679.88737, "fair_value_reference": 2477.868332, 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2477.935281, "relative_strength": -23.616543, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -44.308363, "energy": 25.813618, "activity_lines": [ 2556.2, 2529.545455, 2553.714286, 2619.078639 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 2518.0, "volume": 1105700, "typical_volume": 1038870.0, "trend": 2685.711816, "fair_value": 2477.53876, "relative_strength": -25.136997, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -39.158154, "energy": 20.931487, "activity_lines": [ 2541.933333, 2533.118182, 2542.519048, 2607.608861 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-21", "close": 2635.0, "volume": 1256300, "typical_volume": 979755.0, "trend": 2679.88737, "fair_value": 2477.868332, "relative_strength": -17.851652, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -14.950373, "energy": 9.913734, "activity_lines": [ 2567.1, 2555.290909, 2544.461905, 2604.337131 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }