{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f0f1ce33-33fe-46da-9050-ba9a590abe63", "symbol": "FBGO", "name": "Franklin Brandywine Global Income Optimiser Fund ETF", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 47.681, "architecture_energy": 32.878, "architecture_maturity": 33.591, "architecture_confidence": 77.083, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 30.55, "rotation_up": 36.39, "upward_expansion": 63.84, "deceleration": 86.73, "rotation_down": 25.77, "downward_expansion": 16.18 }, "activity_lines": [ 17.375181, 17.384157, 17.329681, 17.283661 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 17.4, "trend_reference": 17.24412, "distance_from_trend": 0.00904, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 16.430508, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.059006, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -9.824803, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.013302, "excess_performance": -0.107119, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.00904, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.006612, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.059006, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.005154, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.098248, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.000614, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.013302, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.912892, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 11600, "relative_activity": 1.024735, "balance": 2.912892, "dry_up": 1.263251, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.00555, "annualized_volatility": 0.041511, "from_high_reference": -0.005592, "from_low_reference": 0.048848 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 17.24412, "fair_value_reference": 16.430508, "structural_low": 16.967346, "invalidation": "A 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"median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-07-04", "end": "2025-08-01", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.001914, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-08-08", "end": "2025-11-21", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.022841, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-11-28", "end": "2025-12-19", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.014986, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-12-26", "end": "2026-03-13", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.000189, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", 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84.108333, "activity_lines": [ 17.408784, 17.335532, 17.261283, 17.23474 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 17.377937, "volume": 4400, "typical_volume": 10485.0, "trend": 17.214653, "fair_value": 16.402133, "relative_strength": -8.704358, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.432963, "energy": 76.944364, "activity_lines": [ 17.409268, 17.354839, 17.277432, 17.245874 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 17.407917, "volume": 9400, "typical_volume": 9780.0, "trend": 17.224303, "fair_value": 16.409639, "relative_strength": -8.090188, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.490002, "energy": 65.182068, "activity_lines": [ 17.413842, 17.373764, 17.295781, 17.258343 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 17.31798, "volume": 7100, "typical_volume": 9860.0, "trend": 17.231279, "fair_value": 16.416368, "relative_strength": -8.470672, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.055343, "energy": 43.926594, "activity_lines": [ 17.37987, 17.372841, 17.304171, 17.264387 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 17.370001, "volume": 29100, "typical_volume": 11225.0, "trend": 17.239971, "fair_value": 16.42338, "relative_strength": -7.43139, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 44.217056, "energy": 32.301571, "activity_lines": [ 17.371961, 17.377896, 17.316127, 17.273336 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 17.4, "volume": 11600, "typical_volume": 11320.0, "trend": 17.24412, "fair_value": 16.430508, "relative_strength": -9.824803, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 47.681423, "energy": 32.878343, "activity_lines": [ 17.375181, 17.384157, 17.329681, 17.283661 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }