{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "f0f73190-340b-4104-a504-11860d3738a3",
    "symbol": "ASN",
    "name": "ASN Broker Public Company Limited",
    "exchange": "SET",
    "country": "TH",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^SET.BK",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch",
    "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch",
    "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 75.068,
    "architecture_energy": 82.363,
    "architecture_maturity": 26.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 78.774,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 7.65,
        "rotation_up": 82.43,
        "upward_expansion": 96.79,
        "deceleration": 39.97,
        "rotation_down": 9.15,
        "downward_expansion": 18.79
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        1.028,
        0.961091,
        0.862857,
        0.820495
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 1.06,
    "trend_reference": 0.782,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.355499,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 1.401474,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.243654,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 5.054574,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.452055,
    "excess_performance": 0.25973,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.355499,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.006353,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.243654,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.314641,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.050546,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.437449,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.452055,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 4.150472,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 310800,
      "relative_activity": 3.24697,
      "balance": 4.150472,
      "dry_up": 3.536356,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.103048,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.376891,
      "from_high_reference": -0.165354,
      "from_low_reference": 0.962963
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.782,
      "fair_value_reference": 1.401474,
      "structural_low": 0.54,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.043062,
        "positive_rate": 0.2,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.2,
        "median_excess_return": -0.023154,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
        "best_return": 0.040779,
        "worst_return": -0.163866,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.252101,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.210161,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.068777,
        "worst_return": -0.264706,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.205882,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.249678,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.095557,
        "worst_return": -0.259091,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.344146,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.26609,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.188292,
        "worst_return": -0.5,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-07-12",
        "end": "2024-07-19",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.012121,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-07-26",
        "end": "2024-11-01",
        "tenure": "Established",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "start": "2025-01-31",
        "end": "2025-06-13",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.214286,
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
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        "return": 0.0,
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.019417,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-10-03",
        "end": "2025-10-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.028846,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "return": -0.239583,
        "active": false
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      {
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      {
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        "return": 0.010309,
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-07-24",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
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        "return": 0.009524,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
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        "energy": 38.130082,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.706667,
          0.710364,
          0.73481,
          0.776473
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 0.66,
        "volume": 22200,
        "typical_volume": 69975.0,
        "trend": 0.827,
        "fair_value": 1.553718,
        "relative_strength": -40.826745,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -67.641713,
        "energy": 45.735586,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.690667,
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          0.724524,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 0.68,
        "volume": 35000,
        "typical_volume": 70620.0,
        "trend": 0.814333,
        "fair_value": 1.539487,
        "relative_strength": -38.690287,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -57.479794,
        "energy": 40.560646,
        "activity_lines": [
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          0.755398
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 0.68,
        "volume": 49700,
        "typical_volume": 69865.0,
        "trend": 0.804333,
        "fair_value": 1.526154,
        "relative_strength": -38.715003,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -55.645582,
        "energy": 38.708156,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.68,
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          0.71119,
          0.746731
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 0.72,
        "volume": 37500,
        "typical_volume": 71105.0,
        "trend": 0.794667,
        "fair_value": 1.512692,
        "relative_strength": -35.333692,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -50.687676,
        "energy": 31.481651,
        "activity_lines": [
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          0.709714,
          0.74129
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 0.73,
        "volume": 66000,
        "typical_volume": 68965.0,
        "trend": 0.787,
        "fair_value": 1.499295,
        "relative_strength": -34.977741,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -36.25607,
        "energy": 18.756406,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.706,
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          0.709857,
          0.737118
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 0.73,
        "volume": 7100,
        "typical_volume": 66325.0,
        "trend": 0.78,
        "fair_value": 1.485897,
        "relative_strength": -34.766976,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -31.043472,
        "energy": 15.541998,
        "activity_lines": [
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          0.733441
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 0.75,
        "volume": 2700,
        "typical_volume": 65585.0,
        "trend": 0.771667,
        "fair_value": 1.472756,
        "relative_strength": -32.458039,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "volume": 2100,
        "typical_volume": 65040.0,
        "trend": 0.765667,
        "fair_value": 1.459936,
        "relative_strength": -31.384763,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -10.209777,
        "energy": 12.246362,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.738,
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          0.729462
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 0.81,
        "volume": 100,
        "typical_volume": 63490.0,
        "trend": 0.759667,
        "fair_value": 1.447821,
        "relative_strength": -22.315541,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 28.084264,
        "energy": 28.936616,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.763333,
          0.738545,
          0.723619,
          0.732323
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 0.88,
        "volume": 25300,
        "typical_volume": 50045.0,
        "trend": 0.758,
        "fair_value": 1.437308,
        "relative_strength": -18.008667,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 41.408483,
        "energy": 53.922066,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.806,
          0.767818,
          0.738571,
          0.740086
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 0.97,
        "volume": 203200,
        "typical_volume": 39975.0,
        "trend": 0.76,
        "fair_value": 1.429038,
        "relative_strength": -8.74009,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 59.998831,
        "energy": 73.053123,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.868667,
          0.81,
          0.761524,
          0.753763
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 0.98,
        "volume": 91400,
        "typical_volume": 41475.0,
        "trend": 0.762667,
        "fair_value": 1.421346,
        "relative_strength": -7.549966,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 83.036493,
        "energy": 86.581365,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.918667,
          0.848364,
          0.784476,
          0.767957
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 1.05,
        "volume": 625600,
        "typical_volume": 70120.0,
        "trend": 0.769,
        "fair_value": 1.414487,
        "relative_strength": 0.025095,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 84.394762,
        "energy": 89.420513,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.976667,
          0.894,
          0.812952,
          0.786495
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 1.01,
        "volume": 326200,
        "typical_volume": 82325.0,
        "trend": 0.774,
        "fair_value": 1.407628,
        "relative_strength": -1.425108,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 70.398053,
        "energy": 84.098435,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.000667,
          0.925636,
          0.836238,
          0.802043
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 1.06,
        "volume": 310800,
        "typical_volume": 95720.0,
        "trend": 0.782,
        "fair_value": 1.401474,
        "relative_strength": 5.054574,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 75.068405,
        "energy": 82.362854,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.028,
          0.961091,
          0.862857,
          0.820495
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}