{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f0faaa81-37cc-44df-815a-0ad57722560e", "symbol": "LDC", "name": "LDC Dental Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -52.871, "architecture_energy": 41.908, "architecture_maturity": 69.485, "architecture_confidence": 89.163, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 34.62, "rotation_up": 15.24, "upward_expansion": 6.43, "deceleration": 44.98, "rotation_down": 54.9, "downward_expansion": 77.43 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.236667, 0.241091, 0.24381, 0.248387 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 0.24, "trend_reference": 0.257667, "distance_from_trend": -0.068564, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.459461, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.477648, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -31.233538, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.142857, "excess_performance": -0.335182, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.068564, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.105324, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.477648, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.02787, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.312335, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.034552, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.142857, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.332613, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1319700, "relative_activity": 1.021179, "balance": 1.332613, "dry_up": 2.053984, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.070513, "annualized_volatility": 0.38814, "from_high_reference": -0.454545, "from_low_reference": 0.142857 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.257667, "fair_value_reference": 0.459461, "structural_low": 0.21, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 38, "median_return": -0.025232, "positive_rate": 0.368421, "directional_follow_through": 0.578947, "median_excess_return": -0.030853, "regime_survival": 0.868421, "best_return": 0.32, "worst_return": -0.175, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.102564, "positive_rate": 0.153846, "directional_follow_through": 0.769231, "median_excess_return": -0.10318, "regime_survival": 0.692308, "best_return": 0.09375, "worst_return": -0.215517, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.166667, "positive_rate": 0.142857, "directional_follow_through": 0.857143, "median_excess_return": -0.179492, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.25, "worst_return": -0.274725, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-02-09", "end": "2024-04-19", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.076396, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2024-04-26", "end": "2024-05-24", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.016949, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-05-31", "end": "2024-10-04", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.050847, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-10-11", "end": "2024-11-15", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.15873, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-11-22", "end": "2024-12-27", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.153846, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-01-03", "end": "2025-01-24", 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0.473751, "relative_strength": -35.011166, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -44.879008, "energy": 21.010069, "activity_lines": [ 0.248, 0.246364, 0.248238, 0.25514 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.25, "volume": 5856000, "typical_volume": 1380245.0, "trend": 0.264667, "fair_value": 0.470684, "relative_strength": -32.190639, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -31.835448, "energy": 14.964269, "activity_lines": [ 0.248667, 0.247091, 0.248143, 0.254 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.23, "volume": 3007700, "typical_volume": 1353135.0, "trend": 0.262333, "fair_value": 0.466922, "relative_strength": -36.952214, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.986859, "energy": 35.187806, "activity_lines": [ 0.242, 0.244182, 0.246286, 0.251763 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.23, "volume": 434300, "typical_volume": 1289445.0, "trend": 0.26, "fair_value": 0.463096, "relative_strength": -35.331614, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.537971, "energy": 44.899737, "activity_lines": [ 0.236667, 0.241636, 0.244524, 0.249677 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.24, "volume": 1319700, "typical_volume": 1292330.0, "trend": 0.257667, "fair_value": 0.459461, "relative_strength": -31.233538, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.87125, "energy": 41.908492, "activity_lines": [ 0.236667, 0.241091, 0.24381, 0.248387 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }