{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f10d86b7-9f9e-4997-975e-dff8ee5ad1d7", "symbol": "DARE", "name": "Dare Bioscience Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -40.547, "architecture_energy": 66.272, "architecture_maturity": 24.0, "architecture_confidence": 74.846, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 18.5, "rotation_up": 16.28, "upward_expansion": 22.85, "deceleration": 43.03, "rotation_down": 73.34, "downward_expansion": 64.52 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.444, 1.678182, 1.908333, 1.913054 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 1.4, "trend_reference": 1.897667, "distance_from_trend": -0.262252, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 3.327244, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.579231, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -37.435428, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.171598, "excess_performance": -0.359051, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.262252, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.025672, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.579231, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.257348, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.374354, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.431852, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.171598, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.355747, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 496479, "relative_activity": 0.220302, "balance": 0.355747, "dry_up": 0.43515, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.262044, "annualized_volatility": 1.218099, "from_high_reference": -0.62963, "from_low_reference": 0.238938 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.897667, "fair_value_reference": 3.327244, "structural_low": 1.13, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.674718, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.62744, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.674718, "worst_return": 0.674718, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.090177, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.110703, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.090177, "worst_return": -0.090177, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.116506, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.05005, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.116506, "worst_return": 0.116506, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 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462157, "typical_volume": 2143558.05, "trend": 1.974667, "fair_value": 3.520026, "relative_strength": -14.500116, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 14.55945, "energy": 6.8581, "activity_lines": [ 2.072667, 2.101091, 2.118905, 2.03843 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 1.96, "volume": 611526, "typical_volume": 2142724.7, "trend": 1.970333, "fair_value": 3.471959, "relative_strength": -12.567542, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 9.377936, "energy": 7.265882, "activity_lines": [ 2.033333, 2.061273, 2.113476, 2.037484 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.28, "volume": 2175326, "typical_volume": 2234019.2, "trend": 1.941333, "fair_value": 3.422756, "relative_strength": -41.030991, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -35.871913, "energy": 40.848022, "activity_lines": [ 1.771333, 1.912182, 2.042048, 1.992946 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.22, "volume": 639344, "typical_volume": 2253701.85, "trend": 1.917, "fair_value": 3.376577, "relative_strength": -43.203021, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -38.802202, "energy": 56.556476, "activity_lines": [ 1.548667, 1.768364, 1.966095, 1.946409 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.4, "volume": 496479, "typical_volume": 2253632.3, "trend": 1.897667, "fair_value": 3.327244, "relative_strength": -37.435428, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -40.547272, "energy": 66.272359, "activity_lines": [ 1.444, 1.678182, 1.908333, 1.913054 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }