{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f11ec17b-ed8e-4171-a7c1-fb7162c33216", "symbol": "300290", "name": "Bringspring Science and Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -66.547, "architecture_energy": 66.741, "architecture_maturity": 98.005, "architecture_confidence": 95.996, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 7.88, "rotation_up": 27.2, "upward_expansion": 12.0, "deceleration": 59.59, "rotation_down": 58.2, "downward_expansion": 85.33 }, "activity_lines": [ 5.148667, 5.658116, 8.450292, 10.360702 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 6.45, "trend_reference": 12.899683, "distance_from_trend": -0.499988, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 14.532952, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.556181, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -66.954758, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.62931, "excess_performance": -0.63671, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.499988, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.35327, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.556181, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.721298, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.669548, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.315388, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.62931, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.520047, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 295086199, "relative_activity": 2.398248, "balance": 0.520047, "dry_up": 1.701523, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.254231, "annualized_volatility": 1.075455, "from_high_reference": -0.806481, "from_low_reference": 0.762295 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 12.899683, "fair_value_reference": 14.532952, "structural_low": 3.66, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": 0.008532, "positive_rate": 0.578947, "directional_follow_through": 0.421053, "median_excess_return": 0.017143, "regime_survival": 0.789474, "best_return": 0.56833, "worst_return": -0.561614, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.058543, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.062954, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.386609, "worst_return": -0.360092, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.128683, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.143651, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.415689, "worst_return": -0.169231, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"volume": 118618840, "typical_volume": 101915715.4, "trend": 14.390017, "fair_value": 14.518465, "relative_strength": -79.7551, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -77.678942, "energy": 91.985721, "activity_lines": [ 4.43788, 6.299589, 9.499916, 11.418274 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 5.15, "volume": 272701790, "typical_volume": 111957956.3, "trend": 13.60235, "fair_value": 14.521029, "relative_strength": -72.685424, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.525592, "energy": 87.417206, "activity_lines": [ 4.472249, 5.775762, 8.88839, 10.822144 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 6.45, "volume": 295086199, "typical_volume": 123042427.85, "trend": 12.899683, "fair_value": 14.532952, "relative_strength": -66.954758, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.547315, "energy": 66.740865, "activity_lines": [ 5.148667, 5.658116, 8.450292, 10.360702 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }