{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f1312634-981e-4fff-8095-6d195662e043", "symbol": "CSPXN", "name": "iShares VII Public Limited Company - iShares Core S&P 500 UCITS ETF", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 94.494, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 77.448, "architecture_energy": 55.262, "architecture_maturity": 67.486, "architecture_confidence": 70.081, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 17.96, "rotation_up": 48.73, "upward_expansion": 79.83, "deceleration": 71.01, "rotation_down": 28.6, "downward_expansion": 8.83 }, "activity_lines": [ 14101.666667, 14065.081818, 13929.187974, 13683.307493 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 14325.0, "trend_reference": 13389.825033, "distance_from_trend": 0.069842, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 11536.021037, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.241763, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 5.318653, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.121375, "excess_performance": 0.176041, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.069842, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.019131, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.241763, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.002739, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.053187, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.09941, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.121375, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.952877, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 30700, "relative_activity": 0.724338, "balance": 1.952877, "dry_up": 0.689265, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.018033, "annualized_volatility": 0.105584, "from_high_reference": -0.005346, "from_low_reference": 0.154029 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 13389.825033, "fair_value_reference": 11536.021037, "structural_low": 12413.030273, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 35, "median_return": 0.012261, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.001635, "regime_survival": 0.857143, "best_return": 0.153114, "worst_return": -0.068583, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": 0.04542, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.021335, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.167343, "worst_return": -0.1533, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.087071, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": 0.044435, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.285569, "worst_return": -0.162425, "sufficient": 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43481, "typical_volume": 41720.4, "trend": 13360.087695, "fair_value": 11495.353728, "relative_strength": 2.126768, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.444971, "energy": 53.267211, "activity_lines": [ 14014.9, 14005.781818, 13859.86536, 13621.055087 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 14325.0, "volume": 30700, "typical_volume": 42383.55, "trend": 13389.825033, "fair_value": 11536.021037, "relative_strength": 5.318653, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 77.447703, "energy": 55.261541, "activity_lines": [ 14101.666667, 14065.081818, 13929.187974, 13683.307493 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }