{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f13208a9-5d26-4454-b1bb-175d72595ff1", "symbol": "RYTM", "name": "Rhythm Pharmaceuticals Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 71.44, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 75.373, "architecture_energy": 45.866, "architecture_maturity": 38.746, "architecture_confidence": 56.84, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 24.95, "rotation_up": 51.55, "upward_expansion": 72.2, "deceleration": 69.03, "rotation_down": 22.52, "downward_expansion": 10.2 }, "activity_lines": [ 106.87, 105.939818, 99.690905, 96.823183 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 115.63, "trend_reference": 95.355667, "distance_from_trend": 0.212618, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 65.375353, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.768709, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 1.884252, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.116012, "excess_performance": -0.071442, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.212618, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.010142, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.768709, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.162002, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.018843, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.167131, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.116012, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.284471, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 5312157, "relative_activity": 1.375774, "balance": 1.284471, "dry_up": 0.906884, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.08311, "annualized_volatility": 0.518294, "from_high_reference": -0.053764, "from_low_reference": 0.552081 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 95.355667, "fair_value_reference": 65.375353, "structural_low": 74.5, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 28, "median_return": 0.010433, "positive_rate": 0.535714, "directional_follow_through": 0.535714, "median_excess_return": -0.007933, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.395624, "worst_return": -0.180539, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.109074, "positive_rate": 0.727273, "directional_follow_through": 0.727273, "median_excess_return": 0.021357, "regime_survival": 0.545455, "best_return": 0.465462, "worst_return": -0.406194, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.174297, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": 0.149286, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.777222, "worst_return": -0.280854, 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[ 104.249333, 97.751091, 92.85981, 93.240129 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 108.4, "volume": 3526397, "typical_volume": 4173324.35, "trend": 95.508667, "fair_value": 63.214391, "relative_strength": -5.123021, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 38.705593, "energy": 68.26747, "activity_lines": [ 107.344, 100.401273, 94.517, 94.060731 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 106.6, "volume": 2971588, "typical_volume": 4096469.65, "trend": 95.324, "fair_value": 63.785545, "relative_strength": -2.574997, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 37.376538, "energy": 68.225042, "activity_lines": [ 108.372, 102.240727, 95.961714, 94.776301 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 102.1, "volume": 2339304, "typical_volume": 3976377.8, "trend": 95.060667, "fair_value": 64.325288, "relative_strength": -5.127742, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.198461, "energy": 68.289334, "activity_lines": [ 106.685333, 103.036, 96.91181, 95.213462 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 99.25, "volume": 3383642, "typical_volume": 3945721.85, "trend": 94.868667, "fair_value": 64.80484, "relative_strength": -8.10307, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 54.811483, "energy": 36.141472, "activity_lines": [ 103.694667, 103.102545, 97.549619, 95.483742 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 115.63, "volume": 5312157, "typical_volume": 3861212.95, "trend": 95.355667, "fair_value": 65.375353, "relative_strength": 1.884252, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 75.373308, "energy": 45.866242, "activity_lines": [ 106.87, 105.939818, 99.690905, 96.823183 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }