{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "f14a9dba-9044-422a-96ad-cab8dfc3abd7",
    "symbol": "SDGR",
    "name": "Schrodinger Inc",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch",
    "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch",
    "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch",
    "confidence": 91.164,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_up",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up",
    "architecture_modifier": "Emerging rotation",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 74.211,
    "architecture_energy": 41.196,
    "architecture_maturity": 58.707,
    "architecture_confidence": 53.112,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 32.52,
        "rotation_up": 46.07,
        "upward_expansion": 71.69,
        "deceleration": 69.43,
        "rotation_down": 25.0,
        "downward_expansion": 9.69
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        16.226667,
        16.112727,
        15.145286,
        14.401548
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 18.16,
    "trend_reference": 13.849,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.311286,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 21.370609,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.150235,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -1.189503,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.346182,
    "excess_performance": 0.158729,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.311286,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.043885,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.150235,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.29577,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.011895,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.371796,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.346182,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.726073,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 7782900,
      "relative_activity": 1.229878,
      "balance": 1.726073,
      "dry_up": 0.817041,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.105643,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.545143,
      "from_high_reference": -0.211121,
      "from_low_reference": 0.659205
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 13.849,
      "fair_value_reference": 21.370609,
      "structural_low": 10.945,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.027919,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": 0.032198,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
        "best_return": 0.163187,
        "worst_return": -0.11464,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.037546,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.026854,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.121134,
        "worst_return": -0.310575,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.127289,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.117678,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.618127,
        "worst_return": -0.266434,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.257927,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.034371,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.708161,
        "worst_return": -0.192308,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2023-12-15",
        "end": "2024-02-02",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.238287,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-02-09",
        "end": "2024-02-16",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.177963,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2024-04-19",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.203084,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-04-26",
        "end": "2024-11-29",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.058406,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2024-12-20",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.10989,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-12-27",
        "end": "2025-01-31",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.268336,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-02-07",
        "end": "2025-03-21",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.15076,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-03-28",
        "end": "2025-04-25",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.32515,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-05-02",
        "end": "2025-05-23",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.153816,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-05-30",
        "end": "2025-08-08",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.111471,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-08-15",
        "end": "2025-10-24",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.162323,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-10-31",
        "end": "2025-11-21",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.217205,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-11-28",
        "end": "2026-06-12",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.177107,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.152284,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
        "close": 33.81,
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        "typical_volume": 6092979.4,
        "trend": 33.626333,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-08-25",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-09-15",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-09-22",
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "relative_strength": -14.196507,
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        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 39.455863,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 4723632,
        "typical_volume": 6438004.9,
        "trend": 14.062667,
        "fair_value": 21.872404,
        "relative_strength": -15.82685,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 35.360933,
        "energy": 43.710672,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 14.97,
        "volume": 4231861,
        "typical_volume": 6323884.1,
        "trend": 13.951333,
        "fair_value": 21.653494,
        "relative_strength": -15.325901,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 57.362724,
        "energy": 39.411843,
        "activity_lines": [
          15.748,
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          14.047226
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 15.14,
        "volume": 3943175,
        "typical_volume": 6245968.9,
        "trend": 13.856667,
        "fair_value": 21.495673,
        "relative_strength": -13.975431,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 42.275906,
        "energy": 26.153603,
        "activity_lines": [
          15.426667,
          15.637273,
          14.731952,
          14.123914
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 18.16,
        "volume": 7782900,
        "typical_volume": 6328189.65,
        "trend": 13.849,
        "fair_value": 21.370609,
        "relative_strength": -1.189503,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 74.210668,
        "energy": 41.195908,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}