{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f1529bb6-7f5d-44f8-bf48-6cbb23fae906", "symbol": "SULA", "name": "Sula Vineyards Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -33.466, "architecture_energy": 17.066, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 81.59, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 40.5, "rotation_up": 30.25, "upward_expansion": 19.44, "deceleration": 43.45, "rotation_down": 32.59, "downward_expansion": 60.44 }, "activity_lines": [ 158.277335, 156.360182, 158.103105, 159.709204 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 158.550003, "trend_reference": 164.301735, "distance_from_trend": -0.035007, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 349.605267, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.546489, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -18.718845, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.146653, "excess_performance": -0.102944, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.035007, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.121542, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.546489, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.020488, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.187188, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.019474, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.146653, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.195639, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3593007, "relative_activity": 2.200379, "balance": 1.195639, "dry_up": 1.904871, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.054704, "annualized_volatility": 0.338056, "from_high_reference": -0.459039, "from_low_reference": 0.158421 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 164.301735, "fair_value_reference": 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"activity_lines": [ 153.543334, 155.452785, 158.773738, 162.630602 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 149.619995, "volume": 772516, "typical_volume": 1353200.5, "trend": 169.607411, "fair_value": 355.593269, "relative_strength": -25.077702, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.76467, "energy": 66.367807, "activity_lines": [ 151.871333, 153.907214, 157.804339, 161.21179 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 149.789993, "volume": 935101, "typical_volume": 1300603.7, "trend": 167.11221, "fair_value": 353.52564, "relative_strength": -22.227339, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.255432, "energy": 65.493742, "activity_lines": [ 150.757998, 152.889997, 156.943465, 159.933247 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 170.710007, "volume": 7141259, "typical_volume": 1562432.5, "trend": 165.620467, "fair_value": 351.667231, "relative_strength": -12.705417, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -17.011714, "energy": 15.847275, "activity_lines": [ 157.09, 155.829817, 158.142846, 160.165363 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 158.550003, "volume": 3593007, "typical_volume": 1632903.65, "trend": 164.301735, "fair_value": 349.605267, "relative_strength": -18.718845, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -33.465688, "energy": 17.065877, "activity_lines": [ 158.277335, 156.360182, 158.103105, 159.709204 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }